Deep dive · NCM: SKYT
SkyWater Technology Inc stock analysis
Everything behind the call on SkyWater Technology Inc. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.
The five reads
Global tape
No overseas listings — SKYT trades on its home exchange only.
The bottom linestart here
Wall Street rating
Hold
Across 4 covering firms
0% buy · 100% hold · 0% sell
Valuation
-249.7× forward
64th of its own five-year range
5yr median 14×
FCF yield -3.52%
FCF yield -3.52%
Dividend
0.00%
A rounding error against cash — this is a capital-gains position
Risk flags
2 critical
5 checks run, 1 clear
worst drawdown 0%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
In one paragraphwhat the company actually does126 chars
SkyWater Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor manufacturing services in the United States.
NCM · USDSemiconductors
$32.460.00 · 0.00%AH · vol 0
52-week range↑ 240% off low · ↓ 18.7% off high
$9.54now $32.46$39.93
Quote Jul 30, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET
Tape 2026-08-07
Tape 2026-08-07
01Ratios · Jul 6, 2026SOLVENCY IN QUESTION
Survival & solvency
Altman-Z of 2.8 against a 3.0 safe threshold, and 1 of 5 forensic checks clear.
↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman-Z)
2.76GREY ZONE
Distress<1.8
Grey1.8–3.0
Safe>3.0
Profitability, leverage and liquidity combined into one number. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Balance sheetJul 6, 2026
Distance to default (Merton)THIN
3.3σ
How many standard deviations of asset value sit between the company and its debt. Above 4σ is comfortable.
1-year default probabilityEDF-CALIBRATED
0.64%
Calibrated against how often companies at this distance actually defaulted, rather than assuming a normal distribution.
Piotroski F-scoreCRITICAL
F 3/9
Piotroski F-score 3 of 9. Nine pass/fail tests covering profitability, leverage and operating efficiency; seven or more is strong.
Solvency and liquidity ratios
Current ratioshort-term assets against short-term bills0.60×healthy >2
Debt / equityborrowings against shareholder capital1.33
Leverage · long-term debt / equitythe borrowings that outlive a bad quarter0.05
Net debtborrowings in excess of cash on hand$227.12M
Your ownership stake
Share-count growth vs peersHIGH DILUTION
89th pctile
Where this name's share-count growth ranks among peers. Lower is less dilutive.
Net buyback yieldISSUING
-0.94%
Buybacks less new issuance, as a share of market value.
Buyback yieldGROSS
0.00%
Repurchases as a share of market value, before new issuance is netted off.
Stock-based comp / revenueIN LINE
2.1%
Stock comp is the dilution pressure a buyback has to outrun. We read up to 5% of revenue as modest and above 12% as heavy — our own reading band, not a measured peer statistic.
SBC / operating cash flowFALLING
44%
How much of the cash the business generates is being handed to employees as stock. The higher it runs, the more of a buyback is just offsetting it.
Diluted vs basic share gapTHIN OVERHANG
1.09%
Options and awards already granted, expressed as the gap between the diluted and basic counts.
Accounting forensicsSEC filings
Red-flag x-rayGRADE D
40 / 100
2 critical · 2 watch · 1 clear of 5 scored tests
Red-flag x-ray · every check, passes included
CheckStatusValueWhat it looks for
Bankruptcy distressWATCHZ 2.76Altman-Z in the Grey · fundamentals
Earnings manipulationCRITICALM -0.82M-score elevated · fundamentals
LeverageCLEARLTD/E 0.17long-term debt 0.17× equity · fundamentals
Profitability qualityCRITICALF 3/9Piotroski F-score 3 of 9 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsWATCH1 flag1 filing red flag on the latest 10-K · forensic
5 checks, 1 clear and 2 watch and 2 critical. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02Refreshed · Sep 18, 2026GOOD · 80/100
Business quality
27% net margin, 63% return on equity, +29% revenue growth, and capital earning -1% against a 14% cost.
↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
Quality score
80 / 100GOOD
Profitability, growth and balance strength scored separately, then blended.
ProfitabilityRefreshed · Sep 18, 2026
Net marginOF EVERY SALES DOLLAR
26.9%
The share of revenue that survives every cost and becomes profit.
Gross marginPRICING POWER
19.7%
What is left of a sales dollar before overhead — the clearest read on pricing power.
Operating marginAFTER RUNNING COSTS
-0.6%
What survives the cost of running the whole business.
Return on equityPER $1 OF EQUITY
63.3%
Annual return on each dollar of shareholder equity.
ROIC − WACC spreadDESTROYS VALUE
-15.2pp
Earns -1% on invested capital that costs about 14%. A positive spread means every retained dollar compounds rather than leaks.
Incremental ROIC (3y)ON NEW CAPITAL
7.5%
The return on capital put to work over the last three years — a sharper read than the trailing average, because it prices the newest decisions.
Growth & relative strength
Trailing return by period
1 month-0.2%
3 months-3.7%
6 months+7.0%
Year to date+44.7%
1 year+152.6%
Revenue growth (YoY)FAST
+29.2%
Revenue against the same period a year ago.
Around earningsAug 7, 2026
P(beat next quarter)COHORT BASE RATE
64%
survivor-tilted universe (currently-listed names; large-cap-skewed coverage)
Beat rate · this nameBEAT 5–6 OF THE LAST 8
6 of 8
Its own record against consensus. 8 prints is a small sample, which is why the cohort rate above carries the probability.
Fell after a beatP(FELL | BEAT)
33%
A beat is not a plan: this share of them still closed lower on the day.
Rose after a missP(ROSE | MISS)
50%
The mirror of the line above, over its own denominator.
Typical earnings moveMEDIAN ABSOLUTE
±17.0%
Unsigned magnitudes from its own prints. Direction is not part of this read.
Reaction: beat vs missSYMMETRIC
+13.3% / -7.4%
The average day-one move after a beat and after a miss. A miss dropping the stock further than a beat lifts it is the asymmetry worth sizing for.
Dividends & income
Data unavailableThis company does not pay a dividend. There is no yield, payout ratio or ex-dividend date to show, and the return case rests entirely on capital gains.
Signal
Not an income position.
No dividend is declared, so nothing here contributes to total return except the price. That is a fact about the security, not a criticism of it.
Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geography
Data unavailableRevenue by segment and region is not on file for this name, so product and geographic concentration are not shown.
Pattern reliability · platform-wide cohortSnapshot · Sep 18, 2026
Downtrend · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%0.0%1,260,321
21d48%0.0%593,656
63d47%-0.5%186,156
slope -0.18 over 40 bars
Dragonfly doji · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d36%0.0%505,573
21d40%0.0%236,527
63d44%0.0%73,137
long lower shadow, open=close near high
Tweezer bottom · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d45%0.0%343,068
21d46%0.0%161,560
63d47%0.0%50,875
matching lows
Descending triangle · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%0.0%504,664
21d48%0.0%237,571
63d49%0.0%74,935
flat support, falling resistance
Bollinger squeeze
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d43%0.0%757,951
21d45%0.0%355,725
63d47%0.0%112,112
bands at a multi-month tight — breakout pending
0364TH OF ITS 5-YEAR RANGE
Price & timing
Price $32.46, -249.7× forward earnings, RSI 42, and dealers short gamma.
↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Momentum (RSI-14)
42COOL
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
The setup right now
Price · 504 sessions2024-08-05 → 2026-08-07
price50-day200-daylevel
How to read this
Up 0.00% on the session.
Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.
The dashed levels are the strikes the options chain is most committed to. They are the same numbers the gamma block states; nothing here is drawn that no section derives.
MACDBELOW SIGNAL
-0.12
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Pivots (classic)R1 $32 · S1 $32
$32.46
The last settled session's range projected forward. Reference levels, not predictions — after a big gap they can sit on the wrong side of the price until the next close.
DeMark countdownFLAT SETUP
0 of 9
Counts consecutive closes against the prior trend. A completed 9 often marks exhaustion.
2026-09-25 · in 7 daysConsumer SentimentA scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Direction oddsnext 12m
54 / 46cohort n=21,623
A lean, not a forecast. These are the cohort's odds — comparable names over the window — not this stock's own history.
Pullback riskoverstretch read
In line1.00× segment rate · n=80,392
Historically, mid names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 79% of cases (n=80,392).
Signal
The odds lean, the stretch qualifies it.
Historically, names tripping 0 validated red flags finished lower 12 months later in 46% of cases (n=21,623) — a survivor-biased floor, not a forecast.
Valuation
Earnings yield vs cashABOVE CASH
2.25pp
The earnings yield clears the risk-free rate, so the current return alone competes with cash.
Net cash per shareNET DEBT
$-4.67
Cash less every borrowing, per share. It is the part of the price that is not a claim on future profits.
Multiples
Forward P/EAnalysts expect a loss over the next twelve months, so there are no earnings for the price to be a multiple of.Not meaningful5yr median 14×
Trailing P/Eearnings already reported13.9×64th of its 5yr range
Price / salesprice against revenue, before any of it becomes profit3.6×5yr median 1.9×
Price / bookprice against the accounting value of the assets8.5×
EV / EBITDAthe multiple an acquirer would pay12.6×
FCF yieldfree cash flow per dollar of market value-3.52%
2 of the 5 priced multiples above sit in the richer half of its band. 1 is marked not meaningful because the figure it divides into is negative — shown as absent rather than as a low, cheap-looking number. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timing
Data unavailableThis security is delisted, so there is no live tape to compose entry, target and stop against.
Gamma mapChain · Aug 19, 2026
Signal
Short gamma — moves get amplified.
Dealers hedge in the same direction as the move, so swings get bigger both ways rather than one. That argues for a smaller position size, not for a direction.
Options tapeLast snapshot before the 2026-08-21 expiry · Chain · Aug 19, 2026
Max pain+4.7%
$34.00
The strike where most open options would have expired worthless on the last snapshot. That expiry has passed; the next chain read replaces it.
Put / call ratio (OI)CALL-HEAVY
0.40
72% calls
28% puts
Open interest in puts against calls. Heavy call interest often caps how far price can run before expiry.
Put / call ratio (volume)TODAY'S FLOW
0.52
Today's traded flow rather than the standing position. It moves faster and means less.
Expected move (1-week)≈ $0.14
±0.4%
What the chain prices for the week. A range the market is charging for, not a forecast.
Largest open interest · front expiry
StrikeTypeOpen interest
$35.00CALL254
$40.00CALL17
$31.00PUT16
$37.00PUT13
$34.00CALL12
$42.00CALL11
Large call interest above the price acts as a magnet and a ceiling; large put interest below is a floor of hedges. The biggest strike is the level the market is most committed to defending into the next expiry.
Open interest by strikeexpires 2026-08-21 (expired)CallsPutsMax pain $34.00
11
$42.00
017
$40.00
02
$39.00
04
$38.00
01
$37.00
137
$36.00
0254
$35.00
012
$34.00
10
$33.00
33
$32.00
12
$31.00
160
$30.00
30
$29.00
30
$28.00
20
$27.00
10
$25.00
1
The shaded row is the strike nearest the price. Heavy call interest above acts as a ceiling; heavy put interest below is a floor of hedges.
↑ 52-week high$39.93+23.0%The highest print of the past year.Old highs draw profit-taking on the first attempt.
↑ Call wall$35.00+7.8%Heaviest call open interest on the front expiry.Acts as a ceiling into expiry; a close above usually needs a catalyst.
◇ Max pain$34.00+4.7%Where most open options expire worthless.Price often drifts toward it into the close of the expiry week.
↓ Put wall$20.00-38.4%Heaviest put open interest — a floor of hedges.Dealer buying tends to build as price approaches.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL 0
Ownership & flow
Institutions hold 61%, short interest is 7.91% of float.
↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
0BALANCED · 30d
1 bull / 1 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Earnings4 QUARTERS · TIMING
+2
latest EPS beat by a wide margin (low EPS base)
Quality / valueTTM · CONTEXT
-2
weak Piotroski F-score (3/9)
Signal
1 bull / 1 bear factors
Independent factors scored and netted to 0 over 30d, a balanced reading. 2 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.
Cross-category read
Data unavailableFewer independent evidence families are ready than the engine's minimum, so there is nothing to check for agreement. A cross-category read over two categories is not a read.
Wall Street4 covering firms
Consensus rating4 ANALYSTS
Hold
0% buy · 100% hold · 0% sell, as a share of the 4 covering firms.
Forward EPS estimateCONSENSUS
$-0.32
What the panel expects the company to earn per share.
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipINSTITUTIONALLY HELD
61.2%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
25.6%
The share held by the people running the company.
Short interest (float)LIGHT
7.91%
The share of the tradable float sold short.
Free float73% OF SHARES
35.95M
Shares actually available to trade, excluding insider and restricted holdings.
Dollar volume (ADV)72nd PCTILE
$25.06M/day
Average dollars traded per day, and where that ranks cross-sectionally. Thin liquidity is a cost you pay on the way out, not just on the way in.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
Insider filings · Form 4
InsiderTradeAmountPlanTraded
Unterseher Loren A · Director, 10% ownerSellnot on file—31 Jul
Unterseher Loren A · Director, 10% ownerGiftnot on file—28 Jul
Unterseher Loren A · Director, 10% ownerGiftnot on file—28 Jul
Unterseher Loren A · Director, 10% ownerSellnot on file—31 Jul
Unterseher Loren A · Director, 10% ownerSellnot on file—31 Jul
Unterseher Loren A · Director, 10% ownerSellnot on file—31 Jul
Executives must file within two business days. Sales on pre-set 10b5-1 plans are scheduled months ahead and carry little signal; tax withholding, exercises and awards are compensation mechanics, not trades; the open-market lines are the ones to read.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved on Sep 18, 2026NONE
flat
We don't have a fresh enough quote for SKYT to measure its move in after-hours trading.
News tone · 7-day—
45 / 100
Headline polarity over the window, scored from news articles. Above 60 leans positive, below 40 negative. Colour, not a signal.
Newswire · 48 stories
WhenHeadlineSourceTone
Sep 8IonQ Stock Soars -- SkyWater Deal Fuels Higher Revenue Outlook - Yahoo FinanceYahoo Financenot scored
Aug 25SkyWater (SKYT) Earnings Reading: Profit Per Share Falls Below Its Benchmark on the Day; Closing Move: Shares End With Little Net Change in the Latest Reading - Product Revenue Analysis - vinanet.vnvinanet.vnnot scored
Aug 21Balyasny Asset Management L.P. Buys SkyWater Technology Inc (SKY - GuruFocusGuruFocusnot scored
Aug 19SkyWater (SKYT) Earnings Comparison: The Available Earnings Metric Delivers a Miss in the Latest Session; Post-Report Move: Shares Show Limited Movement in the Current Update - Earnings Whisper Number - dars.gov.etdars.gov.etnot scored
Aug 19SkyWater (SKYT) EPS and Revenue Review: Profit Per Share Falls Below Its Benchmark; Post-Report Move: Shares Show Limited Movement in Latest Trading - Trough Earnings Signal - VinanetVinanetnot scored
Aug 16SKYT Oct 2026 22.000 put (SKYT261016P00022000) Interactive Stock Chart - Yahoo FinanceYahoo Financenot scored
Aug 15SKYT Financials: Income Statement, Balance Sheet & Cash Flow - Stock TitanStock Titannot scored
Aug 14Balyasny Asset Management (SKYT) discloses 6.35% SkyWater Technology ownership - Stock TitanStock Titannot scored
Coverage published around the move, newest first. Nothing here measures causation — only the why-it-moved card above is matched to the tape by timestamp.
Congress
Data unavailableNo congressional trades in this name have been disclosed under the STOCK Act. Lawmakers' disclosed trades cluster heavily in large caps, so an empty list is the usual state.
059 graded calls
Risk & track record
a 0% worst drawdown, and 1 of 8 risk surfaces clear.
↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
Max drawdown
0.0%WORST FALL
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
What votes againstNightly
MedQuality / valueweak Piotroski F-score (3/9)TTM · -2
Signal
1 of 9 factors vote against.
Ranked by the size of each factor's own point contribution to the net signal — these are the model's stated reasons, not a written bear case. Each one is scored from the source named beside it.
Failure modes · by company type
Data unavailableFailure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far. This name routes as growth, so there is no cohort-specific checklist to run. A generic list would read as analysis without being any.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Avoid score6-month distress
0.8%0.1× its cohort · heavily-traded large-caps
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this heavily-traded large-caps segment: 8.0%. This name reads 0.1× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
LowPosition sizeThe sizing model has not covered this name, so no defensible cap is published for it.Not scored
LowLottery-ticket behaviourNot scored for this name.Not scored
HighCash runwayAbout 1.1 quarters of cash at current burn ($22M cash against $79M a year of burn) - names in this bucket: 28.6% catastrophe rate within a year.Solvency
LowPost-earnings driftNo measured earnings reaction on file, so the drift surface is unmeasured.Not scored
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowRestatement historyFiling history is not deep enough to check for restatements.Not scored
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
1 of 8 surfaces clear.
8 surfaces checked, 1 clear. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.
Who should skip it
Skip it if any of these is you
You want income
A 0.00% yield is a rounding error against cash. This is a capital-gains position.
Our track record9 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
26 logged
26 calls logged on this name, 9 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
Calls on SKYTTHIS NAME
26
This name's own call count. Too few have resolved to publish a rate over them, so none is shown rather than a rate over 9.
0610-K disclosed linksSEMICONDUCTORS
The wider context
5 mapped peers, 11 connections.
↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
+14.6% per +1ppSECTOR
This is the SECTOR prior, not a measurement of this name — the regression did not clear its own bar. The verdict beside it (headwind) comes from the prior too, so the two agree by construction rather than by evidence.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
NVDAPeer$222.27+1.34%
TSMPeer$434.67+1.02%
AVGOPeer$357.61+2.97%
MUPeer$1,015.80+3.92%
AMDPeer$559.82+2.70%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
Time machineHistory from 2023-06-01
Signal
3 of 4 backward windows are positive.
Look-back returns describe what happened, not what is likely. They are here to set the scale a future move would be measured on.
Macro driversRolling window
Next macro catalystIN 7 DAYS
Consumer Sentiment
2026-09-25. A scheduled release that moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Events · what moves this stockSep 14, 2026
FOMC decisionUsually hurts when the Fed sounds more hawkish than expected
Higher rates for longer hit tech hardest, because so much of its value is profits years away.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day -0.9% · A week later +1.6% · Two weeks later +3.3% · Rose on 14 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 FOMC decision reports since Jul 1, 2023, SKYT moved -0.9% on average on the day and was 3.3% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved -0.1% on those days.
Initial jobless claimsUsually helps when more people file for benefits than expected
Rising joblessness pushes the Fed toward lower rates, which lifts growth-priced tech.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day +0.3% · A week later +1.7% · Two weeks later +2.9% · Rose on 71 of 164 report days
Across the last 164 Initial jobless claims reports since Jun 8, 2023, SKYT moved +0.3% on average on the day and was 2.9% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Producer prices (PPI)Usually hurts when producer prices run hotter than expected
Chip stocks are priced on growth and sell off when rates rise.
Typical for the Semiconductors industry
On the day 0.0% · A week later +2.1% · Two weeks later +3.3% · Rose on 20 of 38 report days
Across the last 38 Producer prices (PPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, SKYT moved 0.0% on average on the day and was 3.3% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) is due in 12 days.
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expectedChip stocks are priced on growth and sell off when rates rise.
Typical for the Semiconductors industry
On the day +1.0% · A week later +0.5% · Two weeks later +2.9% · Rose on 23 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) reports since Jun 28, 2023, SKYT moved +1.0% on average on the day and was 2.9% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Core inflation (core CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Chip stocks are priced on growth and sell off when rates rise.
Typical for the Semiconductors industry
On the day 0.0% · A week later +3.0% · Two weeks later +4.3% · Rose on 20 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 Core inflation (core CPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, SKYT moved 0.0% on average on the day and was 4.3% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Inflation (CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Chip stocks are priced on growth and sell off when rates rise.
Typical for the Semiconductors industry
On the day 0.0% · A week later +3.0% · Two weeks later +4.3% · Rose on 20 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 Inflation (CPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, SKYT moved 0.0% on average on the day and was 4.3% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Job openings (JOLTS) is due in 11 days.
Job openings (JOLTS)Usually hurts when job openings come in higher than expectedStrong hiring tells the Fed it can keep rates high, which weighs on growth-priced tech.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day -0.4% · A week later +2.9% · Two weeks later +4.2% · Rose on 15 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 Job openings (JOLTS) reports since Jul 5, 2023, SKYT moved -0.4% on average on the day and was 4.2% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls) is due in 14 days.
Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)Usually hurts when hiring comes in stronger than expectedStrong hiring tells the Fed it can keep rates high, which weighs on growth-priced tech.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day +0.3% · A week later +3.1% · Two weeks later +5.2% · Rose on 17 of 37 report days
Across the last 37 Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls) reports since Jul 6, 2023, SKYT moved +0.3% on average on the day and was 5.2% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Customer momentum
Data unavailableCustomer momentum needs listed customers that disclose a revenue dependence on this company, and none is on file. The connections below are a different map: competitors and partners, most of them curated rather than filed.
Connections11 links · 3 confirmed
Direct connections · 11 edges
CompanyRelationSessionProvenance
IFX.DE · Manufacturerpartnernot pricedConfirmed · 10K
DOD · Customercustomer0.00%Rumored · manual
IFNNY · Customercustomer+3.50%Confirmed · 10K
IFNNY · Manufacturerpartner+3.50%Confirmed · 10K
IONQ · Customercustomer-3.00%Rumored · manual
QBTS · Customercustomer-3.28%Rumored · manual
QBTS · Manufacturerpartner-3.28%Rumored · manual
PSIQUANTUM · Customercustomernot pricedRumored · manual
AMAT · Suppliersupplier+6.51%Rumored · manual
LRCX · Suppliersupplier+6.98%Rumored · manual
ASML · Suppliersupplier+3.08%Rumored · manual
3 of 11 edges are named in a filing; the rest come from reporting we have not matched to one yet, and are labelled as such.
Suppliers, customers & competitors
Glossary · every term on this page
Survival
Altman Z
Bankruptcy-risk score. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Piotroski F
Nine pass/fail health tests; 7 or more is strong.
Beneish M
Accrual and growth pattern screen. Clear below −2.22, watch to −1.78, elevated above; a year of very fast revenue growth lifts it by construction.
Merton DTD
Standard deviations of asset value between the company and its debt.
EDF
Default frequency calibrated on what actually happened to similar names.
Price & tape
RSI-14
Momentum gauge 0–100. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold.
ATR
Average true range — the size of a typical day.
VWAP
20-day volume-weighted average price — the average paid over the last month; the page shows no intraday VWAP.
Supertrend
A trend-following stop line. A close through it flips the read.
Chandelier
A trailing stop set a few average ranges below the recent high.
Options & flow
Gamma / GEX
Dealer hedging pressure. Negative gamma amplifies moves both ways.
Call / put wall
The strikes with the heaviest open interest; they act as ceiling and floor.
Max pain
The strike where most options expire worthless.
13F · Form 4
Institutional filings, 45 days after quarter end. Insider trades, within two days.
Scoring
Composite signal
Independent factors scored and netted into one number.
Hit-rate
Share of past calls that resolved in the direction stated.
Brier score
Calibration measure. Lower means stated probabilities track reality.
HHI
Concentration 0–10,000. Above 2,500 means one segment carries the company.
EVT
Fits the tail rather than assuming a bell curve, so bad days are not understated.