Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AMD fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 11.20M · 3-mo avg 25.16M

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD)

AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+9net
5 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 11 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~31% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$542.31
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$579–590
center $584.73 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$38.82
7.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.56×
52-week range$149.85 – $584.73
Below high since 2015-6.8% · $584.73 high
Risk / reward0.71 : 1
Plan stop$485.49
Max pain$440.00 options cluster
RSI 1462.8 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple133.5× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past68th pctile · 107.0× median
Free cash flow yield0.8% · of market value

Last session traded heavier than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 36% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
62.8
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
$495.59
above the line · fires near $499.43
Bollinger
$437.22
no lower pierce · fires near $434.18
VWAP 20
$489.60
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $488.91
Entry level
$542.31
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
+5.64
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.56×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$21.98
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 33 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file