Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AVGO fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:24 PM ETVol 16.69M · 3-mo avg 23.08M

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO)

AVGOBroadcom Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
4 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 9 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~30% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 11/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$345.56
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$375–381
center $378.12 · basis · bb upper + round + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$20.95
5.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 7% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 7% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.95×
52-week range$289.96 – $495.00
Below high since 2015-29.8% · $495.00 high
Risk / reward0.77 : 1
Plan stop$324.18
Max pain$350.00 options cluster
RSI 1438.5 fires under 35 · fires near $348.98
Forensic flags3 review
Earnings multiple18.3× fwd · 45.2× trailing
P/E vs its own past48th pctile · 50.8× median
Free cash flow yield1.6% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 2.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
38.5
fires under 35 · fires near $348.98
vs 50-day
$380.63
below the line
Bollinger
$339.97
no lower pierce · fires near $336.53
VWAP 20
$358.89
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$345.56
level below · fires near $348.98
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
-0.55
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.95×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$10.69
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-12-09
in 57 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
USD 0.65
ex-date 2026-09-21