Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) — Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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LRCX fair-value estimate

LRCX earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 7.59M · 3-mo avg 10.41M

Lam Research Corporation (LRCX)

LRCXLam Research Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+5net
4 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~11% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$313.63
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$434–442
center $438.03 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$28.43
9.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.88×
52-week range$126.37 – $438.50
Below high since 2015-28.1% · $438.50 high
Risk / reward3.42 : 1
Plan stop$279.35
Max pain$282.50 options cluster
RSI 1456.3 fires under 35 · fires near $250.77
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple26.9× fwd · 54.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past94th pctile · 23.6× median
Free cash flow yield1.2% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
56.3
fires under 35 · fires near $250.77
vs 50-day
●
$304.28
above the line · fires near $307.00
Bollinger
●
$265.09
no lower pierce · fires near $259.39
VWAP 20
●
$293.99
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $293.87
Entry level
✓
$313.63
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$280.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-22
MACD
Context✓
+3.67
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.88×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$14.17
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-21
in 18 sessions
Next dividend
0.42% yld
no ex-date on file