Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) — $306.40 −1.59%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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LRCX fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 6.99M · Avg 11.71M
LRCXLam Research Corporation$306.40-1.59%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+7net
4 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 9 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.8× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$304.87
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$336–348
center $341.93 · basis · bb upper + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$34.72
11.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.60× · 6.99M vs 11.71M avg
52-week range$94.11 – $438.50
Below high since 2015-30.1% · $438.50 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.8
Plan stop$257.61
Max pain$290.00 options cluster
RSI 1447.4 fires under 35 · fires near $242.64
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$306.40
$241.42 · -21.2%-21.2%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+11.3% · $341.12+11.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
47.4
fires under 35 · fires near $242.64
vs 50-day
$337.54
below the line
Bollinger
$266.06
no lower pierce · fires near $258.48
VWAP 20
$305.50
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $305.18
Entry level
$304.87
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$310.00
below max put OI strike
MACD
+2.67
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.60×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$23.63
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
21 Oct 2026
· in 71 days
Next dividend
0.34% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed