Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) — Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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LRCXpeers & supply-chain relationships

LRCX fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM ETVol 5.45M · 3-mo avg 10.04M

Lam Research Corporation (LRCX)

LRCXLam Research Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
3 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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$217.95
near a support level · Nov 9
$279–288
near the 200-day average and the 50-day average · midpoint $283.15 · Nov 9
±$26.05
±11.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume28% below normal0.72× its 20-day average
Past year's range$135.50 – $438.50lowest to highest price
From its peak49.5% belowpeak $438.50, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.59 to 1$1.59 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$182.84the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$210.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)39.3fires under 35 · fires near $210.45
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit18.1× next year33.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 68%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 24.2×
Cash it generates1.8%of its market value, per year

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 65% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
39.3
fires under 35 · fires near $210.45
vs 50-day
✓
$282.66
below the line
Bollinger
●
$189.15
no lower pierce · fires near $181.10
VWAP 20
✓
$238.82
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$217.95
level below · fires near $219.87
Put wall
●
$220.00
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context●
-1.38
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.72×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$17.56
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-27
in 52 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
USD 0.33
ex-date 2026-12-02