NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:22 PM ETVol 54.18M · 3-mo avg 128.31M

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

NVDANVIDIA Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+5net
4 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~33% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$218.24
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$234–238
center $236.00 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$11.71
5.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.72×
52-week range$164.27 – $236.54
Below high since 2015-7.3% · $236.54 high
Risk / reward0.94 : 1
Plan stop$202.17
Max pain$205.00 options cluster
RSI 1451.9 fires under 35 · fires near $196.31
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple14.0× fwd · 27.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past1st pctile · 57.1× median
Free cash flow yield1.8% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 48% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
51.9
fires under 35 · fires near $196.31
vs 50-day
$213.67
above the line · fires near $215.72
Bollinger
$205.91
no lower pierce · fires near $203.49
VWAP 20
$219.51
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $219.48
Entry level
$218.24
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
-0.87
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.72×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.47
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-17
in 42 sessions
Next dividend
0.46% yld
no ex-date on file