NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 179.72M · 3-mo avg 117.34M

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

NVDANVIDIA Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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$185.71
near a support level · Nov 6
$198–202
near a heavy call-option level and a round-number price · midpoint $200.00 · Nov 6
±$16.03
±8.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 15% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 15% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume53% above normal1.53× its 20-day average
Past year's range$164.27 – $243.37lowest to highest price
From its peak23.3% belowpeak $243.37, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.79 to 1$0.79 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$169.67the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$192.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)30.8washed out
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit11.7× next year23.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 0%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 54.8×
Cash it generates2.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 2.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 70% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
30.8
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$219.77
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$188.34
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$208.45
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$185.71
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-3.20
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.53×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
1.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.02
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-17
in 7 sessions
Next dividend
0.54% yld
no ex-date on file