NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — $206.84 −0.92%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

TICK
NVDANVIDIA Corporation$206.8415-min delayed
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Bid × AskUpdated Jul 25, 2026 · 1:05 PM ETVol 110.84M · Avg 155.05M
NVDANVIDIA Corporation$206.84-0.92%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

3 of 6 evaluable entry triggers are active; the screen rule requires 4. Drag the price down to see what a dip unlocks.

QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKAltman · Safe zoneCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.7× · n=37OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$205.81
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-07-25
Target exit zone
$208–212
center $209.89 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-07-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$11.36
5.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~82% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.71× · 110.84M vs 155.05M avg
52-week range$164.07 – $236.54
Below all-time highnot on file
Risk / reward1 : 0.3
Plan stop$190.61
Max pain$205.00 magnet
RSI 1451.1 fires under 35 · fires near $181.54
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$206.84
$180.72 · -12.6%-12.6%drag down to see what a dip unlocksdrag to simulate a move+5.5% · $218.20+5.5%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
51.1
fires under 35 · fires near $181.54
vs 50-day
$209.11
below the line
Bollinger
$190.93
no lower pierce · fires near $188.56
VWAP 20
$202.32
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $202.27
Entry level
$205.81
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$210.00
below max put OI strike
MACD
+0.99
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.71×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
1.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.60
14-session average true range
Descriptive rule, not calibrated return odds: alignment requires 4 of 6 evaluable dip conditions. RSI, 50-day and Bollinger recompute from the served daily tape; rolling VWAP 20, entry level and put-wall strike are fixed references. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context and never enter the count.
See the full case
Next earnings
26 Aug 2026
· in 31 days
Next dividend
0.48% yld
no ex-date on file
Appears in
Semiconductors hub
prices 15-min delayed