ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) — Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.52M · 3-mo avg 1.44M

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML)

ASMLASML Holding N.V.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKInflation-report days · ~15% smaller swingsRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 72/100 · was 79 on Nov 6 · Nov 101/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$1,500.31
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 10
$1,578–1,616
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $1,596.96 · Nov 10
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 10% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 10% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume15% below normal0.85× its 20-day average
Past year's range$946.11 – $1,999.96lowest to highest price
From its peak24.6% belowpeak $1,999.96, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.56 to 1$0.56 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$1,349.36the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)42.7fires under 35 · fires near $1,426.27
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit23.8× next year37.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 45%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 37.8×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 54% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
42.7
fires under 35 · fires near $1,426.27
vs 50-day
✓
$1,668.08
below the line
Bollinger
●
$1,406.94
no lower pierce · fires near $1,381.07
VWAP 20
✓
$1,564.94
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$1,500.31
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-9.88
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.85×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$75.48
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-27
in 52 sessions
Next dividend
0.62% yld
no ex-date on file