Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) — Semiconductor Equipment & Materials. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AMATpeers & supply-chain relationships

AMAT fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:15 PM ETVol 2.63M · 3-mo avg 7.27M

Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT)

AMATApplied Materials, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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$363.09
near a support level · Nov 9
$423–436
near a round-number price and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $429.31 · Nov 9
±$49.16
±13.4% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume47% below normal0.53× its 20-day average
Past year's range$203.40 – $739.67lowest to highest price
From its peak49.9% belowpeak $739.67, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.11 to 1$1.11 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$312.76the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)41.4fires under 35 · fires near $344.36
Accounting warning signs3worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit19.8× next year31.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 81%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 20.4×
Cash it generates2.0%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
41.4
fires under 35 · fires near $344.36
vs 50-day
✓
$443.02
below the line
Bollinger
●
$326.82
no lower pierce · fires near $316.99
VWAP 20
✓
$393.07
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$363.09
level below · fires near $366.33
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-1.28
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.53×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
1.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$25.17
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-12
in 2 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.53
ex-date 2026-11-19