Jun 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET · At close · 15-min delayed
Mkt cap$1.06T
P/E · fwd45.4 · 9.1
Div yield0.06%
Beta 1y2.74
Volume72.51M1.46× avg
52-wk range -14.1%1031089
Caution readMixed
What we found on MU
Free 14 days, then $20/mo · cancel anytime
!Running hot — RSI 61 and ~4% above the 20-day; pullback risk elevated.
iPressing the $180 call wall — dealer gamma resistance overhead into Friday's expiry.
At a glance the decision-relevant reads, first
GLOBAL TAPE
Overseas lean+0.54%
FrankfurtNVD+0.62%⏱
London (OTC)0R1I+0.48%⏱
MéxicoNVDA.MX+0.74%⏱
TokyoNVDA.T+0.31%
Track record · free & ungated
We grade our price-band calls in public
Each forward 80% price band is logged the day it's set and scored when it resolves — misses included. None are due yet, so there's no hit-rate to show: this builds in the open, not behind the paywall.
480
bands logged
0
resolved so far
Jul 5
first results
The calibration ledger stays free, always — a track record can't sit behind a paywall.
Price action
Price & quote
Live quote refreshed every 15 minutes against the full daily snapshot.
The readUnder pressurefact
Where the price sits inside today's range and its 52-week range, plus how it's performed over time. This is the raw quote — the same number everywhere, just faster.
◆ Golden cross◇ Descending channel50-day sits above the 200-day — bullish long-term structure.
Tap & drag the chart for daily OHLCV · 126 sessions · prev close $949.28 (dashed)
Open●
$175.10
Prev close●
$949.28
Volume●
72.51M
avg 49.69M
Rel. volume◐
1.46×
above normal
Market cap●
$1.06T
Shares out●
1.13B
float 1.12B
Day range
$854.35$989.15
52-week range ◐
$103.38$1,089.29
-14.1% from high+805.3% above low
How it's performed price then → now, $935.89
3 months ago
$156.34
+14.1%
6 months ago
$162.65
+9.7%
1 year ago
$112.78
+58.2%
3 years ago
$22.88
+679.8%
The QTick signal
QTick proprietary signal
A transparent point tally — bull evidence minus bear evidence — read over ~30 days. Faster factors time the swing; slower ones (quality, 13F, forensics) weigh in as longer-horizon context. A model-based prior, not advice.
~30-day swing read · graded vs S&Puncalibrated prior · track record buildingstrength is the tally magnitude, not a probability
Bullish
+7
net · moderate
Factor breakdown 8 factors · signed points sum to net +7●
Analyst moves90d+1 pts
34 price-target raise(s) in 90d
Earnings4 quarters+3 pts
latest EPS beat by 33%
Insider flow120d-1 pts
net insider selling ($146,270,683 across 190 sell(s)) in 120d
Estimate revisionsWeeks+2 pts
estimate revisions trending up (drift conviction 84/100)
Sentiment1–30d+1 pts
7d sentiment elevated (89/100)
Longer-horizon context weighs the read · not a 30-day timing call
Institutional (13F)Latest 13F+1 pts
3 institutional holder(s) added/opened last quarter
Quality / valueTTM+2 pts
strong Piotroski F-score (7/9)
Filing forensicsLatest FY-2 pts
filing forensics — revenue-recognition timing language worth watching
Net tally
+7
10 bull − 3 bear
Factors agreeing
6↑ 2↓
of 8 tracked
Read strength
moderate
30d horizon
Strongest factor
Earnings
+3 pts
Model
QTick Engine
MU track record
Building
0 of 1 resolved
Forensic flags filing red flags · backtested edge where shown●
Cannot-estimate contingencyan unquantified legal/regulatory contingency the company says it cannot estimate
Revenue-timing languagerevenue-recognition timing language worth watching
Territory — competitor / supplier graph ●
Section readQTICK net read
49/100
Bullish
uncalibrated prior · not a forecast
Our overall read, built from every factor above and shown with the full breakdown. Research, never advice.
Red-Flag X-Ray
Accounting quality · red-flag scan
One integrity score (0–100) from a set of accounting checks that look for red flags. Higher is safer — and we show the checks it passed, not just the ones it failed.
How we test · 7 forensic testsA clear result ships as openly as a flag — and the tests that don't fire are published in full. No survivorship bias.
Share dilution / SBC creepFires when shares outstanding rise materially or stock-based comp outpaces buybacks.
Distress (Altman-Z, negative equity)Fires on balance-sheet fragility. For banks we substitute regulatory capital (CET1).
Margin trajectoryFires on multi-quarter gross / operating margin erosion.
Going-concern languageNLP scan of filings for material-doubt or going-concern wording.
Filing timelinessFires on late / NT (non-timely) filings and restatements.
Insider selling into strengthFires on discretionary insider sells during price strength; 10b5-1 plans down-weighted.
Analyst-downgrade momentumFires on clusters of net downgrades and target cuts.
Section readRed-Flag X-Ray
A
integrity 0–100 · 7-test battery
One integrity score (0–100) from a set of accounting checks. 80+ is clean; a 'watch' item is minor; a 'critical' flag is serious.
Odds & pullback risk
Setup & odds
Which way the next move is more likely to go — and how overstretched the price looks right now.
The readSkews upsidewhere it sitsuncalibrated prior · not a forecast
How the likely upside compares with the downside, and how stretched the price is — odds, not timing.
Upside vs downside · 30d ◐
Upside 54.4%45.4% Downside
Skew favours upside · base rate 50/50
Expected move · 1wk◐±16.1% ≈ $150.68
Upside target◐$969.32 +3.6% · level, not a call
Invalidation / stop◐$922.87 -1.4% · level, not a call
Reward : risk◐2.6 : 1
BullClose above $969 opens continuation.
BaseChop between stop and target into the next catalyst.
BearA break of $923 invalidates the setup.
Pullback risk ◐
LowElevatedHigh
Setup balanced — pullback risk low.
no extreme stretch or risk flag
↳ In detail
How to read the odds
These are model probabilitiesfrom price action, options-implied skew and factor stretch — a read on the balance of risk, not a guarantee. A high pullback score means the tape is extended and prone to mean-revert; it doesn't predict timing. Research, never advice.
Trend & technical structure
Trend & technicals
The price chart's vital signs, in plain English. Expand any row for what it actually means for you.
The readUptrend intactwhere it sitsmoving-average posture · fact
Moving averages set the direction; RSI and the bands tell you whether the move has gone too far.
Average prices (the trend)
Price vs 200-day●+156.5%
Momentum, bands & levels
↳ In detail
The simple version
When price sits aboveits averages with momentum rising, the trend is healthy. When RSI is near the extremes or the price looks "stretched," the move is overdone and often takes a breather. Think of these as a weather report — conditions, not instructions. Research, never advice.
Pattern outcomes
QTick
Data not available.
Momentum & performance
Momentum / performance
Trailing returns and relative strength versus the benchmark.
The readMarket leaderwhere it sitsRS percentile vs market
How the stock has returned, and whether it's beating the market. Strong, rising momentum tends to persist.
Trailing returns
1-month◐+84.6%
3-month◐+165.5%
6-month◐+342.5%
Year-to-date◐+237.4%
1-year◐+983.8%
12-1 momentum◐+509.8%
Relative strength vs S&P 500
98.1
RS-rank percentile vs market
laggingleading
Relative strength line (β-adj)◐+133.84
↳ In detail
What relative strength tells you
RS-rank 98.1 means MU has outpaced 98.1% of the market over the trailing year. High and rising RS is the single most persistent momentum factor — leaders tend to keep leading until they don't.
Risk profile
Risk
Volatility and sensitivity, regressed against SPY from adjusted bars.
The readElevatedwhere it sitspercentile vs S&P universe
Beta is how much it moves with the market; volatility and the worst drop show how rough the ride has been. Size positions to these.
Beta · 1-year◐
2.74
more sensitive than market
Beta · 3-year◐
2.17
Realized vol · 30d◐
118.1%
annualized
Max drawdown · 1y●
-30.3%
↳ In detail
Reading risk
A beta of 2.74 means that, historically, a 1% move in the S&P has come with a ~2.74% move here. Realized vol of 118% and a 30% worst-case 1-year drawdown frame how much patience a position needs.
Macro sensitivity
QTick
Data not available.
Valuation
Valuation
Is the stock cheap or expensive? Each multiple is graded and explained in plain English.
The readCheapwhere it sitsmultiple percentile vs S&P
Price against earnings, sales, book value and cash flow. We mark the measures that don't apply rather than fake them.
Premium valuationPriced at a premium — the market is paying up for growth and quality. Leaves little margin for error if results disappoint. Rich ≠ a sell.
What you pay for earnings
P/E (trailing)●Price ÷ last 12 months of profit45.4×Rich
Forward P/E●Price ÷ next year's expected profit9.1×Cheap
PEG ratio◐P/E adjusted for growth — under 1 is cheap1.18Fair
Earnings yield◔Profit as a % of price, like a bond yield2.20%Rich
Dividend yield●Annual cash paid to holders, % of price0.06%Income
What you pay for the business
Price / Sales◔Price ÷ annual revenue28.9×Rich
Price / Book◔Price ÷ net assets on the books19.97×Rich
EV / EBITDA◔Whole-company value ÷ operating cash earnings44.0×Rich
Peers today territory performance, for valuation context
Section readValuation
Cheap
multiple percentile vs S&P
Price against earnings, sales, book value and cash flow. We mark the measures that don't apply rather than fake them.
Fundamentals & quality
Fundamentals / quality
How good is the underlying business? Scale, profitability and balance-sheet strength, graded.
The readSolidwhere it sitspercentile vs sector
Scale, profitability and balance sheet. Growing revenue, widening margins and clean returns mean a durable business.
High-quality & fast-growingFat margins, strong returns on capital and rapid growth — the profile of a durable market leader.
Scale & growth
Revenue · TTM◔Total sales over the last 12 months$37.38BScale
EPS · TTM◔Profit earned per share$7.59Profit
Net margin◔Cents of profit kept per $1 of sales22.8%Strong
Revenue growth◔Sales vs a year ago+48.9%Strong
EPS growth◔Profit-per-share vs a year ago+984.3%Strong
Margin trajectory◔Are profit margins widening or shrinking?expandingStrong
Returns & balance sheet
ROE◔Profit generated on shareholders' equity15.8%Strong
ROIC◔Return on all invested capital78.5%Strong
Gross / Op margin◔Profitability before & after operating costs40% / 26%OK
Free cash flow◔Cash left after running & investing$1.67BStrong
Debt / Equity◔Borrowings vs equity — lower is safer0.28Strong
Current ratio◔Can it cover near-term bills? Over 1.5 is healthy4.10Strong
Section readQuality
Solid
percentile vs sector
Scale, profitability and balance sheet. Growing revenue, widening margins and clean returns mean a durable business.
Credit & safety
QTick
Data not available.
ProDilution radar · derived analysis
Are your shares being diluted?
Derived · ownership erosion
Raw share count is everywhere. The consequence — how fast the count is growing and where that ranks against peers — is the read that matters.
The readDilutingwhere it sitsdilution percentile vs peers
How fast the share count is growing versus peers. Buybacks help you; heavy stock-based pay dilutes you.
5-year share-count CAGR ●
Dilutive — count rising+108.0%/yr
−100+10
Most-dilutive percentile vs peers
LeastMedianMost
0percentile100
Peer percentile●58th above median
Stock-comp % of revenue◔7.1%
Shares outstanding · indexed 5y ●
5y ago = 100103.3
↳ In detail
What the radar is saying
The count is growing +108.0%a year — mostly stock comp. That's real ownership erosion: every share you hold is a thinner slice over time. It ranks in the 58th percentile for dilution among peers. Research, never advice.
See whether your stake is quietly being diluted — 5-year share-count trend, stock-comp load, and rank vs peers.
The verdict and plain read above stay free, forever — and Pro is free to try, so this costs nothing to open.
Free 14 days, then $20/mo · cancel anytime
Analyst & estimates
Analyst & estimates
Consensus, price targets, forward estimates and the bank's history of beating them.
The readStreet leans bullishwhere it sitswhere Wall Street sits · not QTick
Targets matter less than which way estimates are heading and how often the company beats them.
Consensus rating ◔
Buy
65 analysts · score 1.4/5
Rating breakdown not available
12-month price target
low $249.00now $935.89high $1,750.00
Mean target◔$349.00 (-62.7%)
Forward estimates & revisions
Forward EPS consensus●—
Revision breadth · 30d●—
Revision momentum●—
Beat-rate · 8q●—
EPS surprise history ●
EPS surprise history not available
Recent rating changes ●
Smart money & positioning
Smart money
Who holds it, how options lean, and the most recent insider, congressional and 13F transactions.
The read—where it sitspositioning band · not a vote
Who owns it and what insiders and big funds are doing. Steady buying reads positive; heavy selling reads cautious.
Holders
Institutional●—
Insider●0.0%
Institutional flow●—
Fund concentration●—
Activist stake●None on file
Insider & short
Insider 90d net●—
10b5-1 vs discretionary◔scheduledMostly programmatic
Short interest · %float◔0.0%
Short interest · 30d Δ◔—
Options positioning
Put/call · OI●2.41
Put/call · volume●0.80
Implied move●next exp.±9.4%
IV skew (25Δ)●+1.0% put-skewed
↳ In detail
What positioning is whispering
Institutional flow data unavailable. A put/call of 2.41 and put-skewed IV say the options market is leaning defensive.
Recent transactions Form 4 + congressional●
FilerSourceActionValueDate
MEHROTRA SANJAYDirector, President and CEOInsiderSell16504102 Jun
MEHROTRA SANJAYDirector, President and CEOInsiderSell32951502 Jun
MEHROTRA SANJAYDirector, President and CEOInsiderSell53200502 Jun
MEHROTRA SANJAYDirector, President and CEOInsiderSell9892502 Jun
MEHROTRA SANJAYDirector, President and CEOInsiderSell160000002 Jun
13F gurus · last quarter ●
Renaissance TechnologiesAdded+2.2M sh · $731M
Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio)Added+1.5M sh · $499M
Duquesne Family Office (Stanley Druckenmiller)Added+0.0M sh · $0M
Smart-money flow
QTick
Data not available.
Options microstructure
Options microstructure
Computed over the stored full chain — where dealer hedging concentrates.
The readBreak-pronewhere it sitsmarket-structure band
The busiest option strikes can pull the price toward them or speed moves up. They act as support and resistance.
Open-interest by strike · gamma walls ◐
Puts OI (k)Calls OI (k)
529
980
699
581
975
506
569
970
1238
296
965
237
899
960
620
378
955
282
2264
950
2824WALL
783
945
520
936
940
743
564
935
236
1584
930
696
629
927.5
111
734
925
385
160
922.5
109
WALL4183
920
551
587
917.5
145
spot $949.28 max pain $925 (-2.6%)
Dealer regime & expected move
Gamma exposure (GEX)
Negative
short
Max pain●$925.00 (-2.6%)
Put/call · OI●2.41
Call wall◐$950.00 resistance
Put wall◐$920.00 support
Expected move · session◐±7.1%
Expected move · week◐±15.9%
Break-pronePut-heavyShort gamma
↳ In detail
What the options are saying
The book is skewed to puts — about 15676k of put open interest versus 9902k calls (P/C 2.41). That's heavy downside hedging that tends to cushion declines around the $920 put wall. Dealers are short gamma, so their hedging amplifies moves: max pain matters less here, and a push through the $950 / $920 walls can accelerate rather than fade. The chain is pricing about ±15.875933914038148% (≈ $150.71) over the coming week.
ProGamma map · derived analysis
Where dealers pin the tape
Derived · dealer hedging · marquee
Open interest is free everywhere. What it does — whether dealer hedging dampens or amplifies a 1% move, and the walls price gets magnetized to — is the derived read.
The readHedging amplifies moveswhere it sitsdealer-positioning band
Whether options dealers' hedging is calming the price or likely to amplify the next move, and the levels it's drawn to.
Support / resistance rails ◐
call wall · resistance$950
spot$949.28
put wall · support$920
Dealer regime ◐
Short gamma — dealers amplify moves
Net dealer gamma◐−$24.71M per 1% move
ATM implied vol◐1.1%
Expected move · 1d◐±7.1%
Expected move · 1w◐±15.9%
OTM IV skew (25Δ)◐+0.3% put-skewed
↳ In detail
What the gamma map is saying
Dealers are short gamma, so their hedging amplifies moves — a push through $950 or $920 tends to accelerate, not fade. Net gamma of −$24.71M is the dollar hedging effect per 1% move — the consequence a raw chain never tells you. Research, never advice.
See exactly where dealer hedging pins the price or lets it break — the call wall, put wall, and net hedging pressure.
The verdict and plain read above stay free, forever — and Pro is free to try, so this costs nothing to open.