Deep dive · NasdaqCM: BTDR
Bitdeer Technologies Group stock analysis
Everything behind the call on Bitdeer Technologies Group. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.
The five reads
Global tape
No overseas listings — BTDR trades on its home exchange only.
The bottom linestart hereAs of 2026-11-06
Chart pattern
Below both averages
The 50-day sits below the 200-day
50-day $9.78 · -38.5%
200-day $11.48 · -47.6%
200-day $11.48 · -47.6%
Earnings
In 2 days
10 Nov 2026
beat ≤2 of the last 8
cohort P(beat) 39% · n=21,200
cohort P(beat) 39% · n=21,200
Valuation
-16.1× forward
Against consensus earnings
5yr median 32×
FCF yield -143.15%
FCF yield -143.15%
Dividend
0.00%
A rounding error against cash — this is a capital-gains position
Risk flags
3 critical
5 checks run, 1 clear
beta 4.05 · vol 122% ann.
worst drawdown -76%
worst drawdown -76%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
In one paragraphwhat the company actually does208 chars
Bitdeer Technologies Group operates as a technology company for blockchain and high-performance computing (HPC) in Singapore, the United States, Bhutan, Norway, Finland, Ethiopia, Canada, and internationally.
NasdaqCM · USDApplication Software
$6.02+0.71 · +13.28%CLOSED · vol 13.23M
52-week range↑ 20% off low · ↓ 74.2% off high
$5.03now $6.02$23.30
Quote Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET
Tape 2026-11-06
Factors 2026-11-06
Tape 2026-11-06
Factors 2026-11-06
01Ratios · Jul 16, 2026SOLVENCY IN QUESTION
Survival & solvency
Altman-Z of 1.4 against a 3.0 safe threshold, and 1 of 5 forensic checks clear.
↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman-Z)
1.39DISTRESS ZONE
Distress<1.8
Grey1.8–3.0
Safe>3.0
Profitability, leverage and liquidity combined into one number. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Balance sheetJul 16, 2026
Distance to default (Merton)STRESSED
0.0σ
How many standard deviations of asset value sit between the company and its debt. Above 4σ is comfortable.
1-year default probabilityEDF-CALIBRATED
9.47%
Calibrated against how often companies at this distance actually defaulted, rather than assuming a normal distribution.
Piotroski F-scoreCRITICAL
F 3/9
Piotroski F-score 3 of 9. Nine pass/fail tests covering profitability, leverage and operating efficiency; seven or more is strong.
Solvency and liquidity ratios
Current ratioshort-term assets against short-term bills0.91×healthy >2
Debt / equityborrowings against shareholder capital1.27
Net debtborrowings in excess of cash on hand$949.95M
Your ownership stake
Share-count growth vs peersHIGH DILUTION
94th pctile
Where this name's share-count growth ranks among peers. Lower is less dilutive.
Accounting forensicsSEC filings
Red-flag x-rayGRADE F
30 / 100
3 critical · 1 watch · 1 clear of 5 scored tests
Red-flag x-ray · every check, passes included
CheckStatusValueWhat it looks for
Bankruptcy distressCRITICALZ 1.39Altman-Z in the Distress · fundamentals
Earnings manipulationCRITICALM 2.50M-score elevated · fundamentals
LeverageCLEARLTD/E 0.28long-term debt 0.28× equity · fundamentals
Profitability qualityCRITICALF 3/9Piotroski F-score 3 of 9 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsWATCH2 flags2 filing red flags on the latest 10-K · forensic
5 checks, 1 clear and 1 watch and 3 critical. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02Refreshed · Nov 8, 2026FAIR · 53/100
Business quality
11% net margin, 8% return on equity, +77% revenue growth, and capital earning -18% against a 15% cost.
↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
Quality score
53 / 100FAIR
Profitability, growth and balance strength scored separately, then blended.
ProfitabilityRefreshed · Nov 8, 2026
Net marginOF EVERY SALES DOLLAR
10.6%
The share of revenue that survives every cost and becomes profit.
Gross marginPRICING POWER
9.8%
What is left of a sales dollar before overhead — the clearest read on pricing power.
Operating marginAFTER RUNNING COSTS
-29.8%
What survives the cost of running the whole business.
Return on equityPER $1 OF EQUITY
7.6%
Annual return on each dollar of shareholder equity.
ROIC − WACC spreadDESTROYS VALUE
-33.0pp
Earns -18% on invested capital that costs about 15%. A positive spread means every retained dollar compounds rather than leaks.
Incremental ROIC (3y)ON NEW CAPITAL
-7.2%
The return on capital put to work over the last three years — a sharper read than the trailing average, because it prices the newest decisions.
Growth & relative strength
Trailing return by period
1 month-38.1%
3 months-30.8%
6 months-55.3%
Year to date-46.3%
1 year-72.8%
Revenue growth (YoY)FAST
+77.3%
Revenue against the same period a year ago.
12-1 momentumEX LAST MONTH
-56.0%
Return over the last year excluding the most recent month — the standard momentum factor, which drops the short-term reversal.
Relative-strength rankBOTTOM 22%
22 / 100
Where this name's 3-month return against the S&P 500 ranks across the market — a quarter's standing, not the year's.
Around earningsAug 10, 2026
P(beat next quarter)COHORT BASE RATE
39%
survivor-tilted universe (currently-listed names; large-cap-skewed coverage)
Beat rate · this nameBEAT ≤2 OF THE LAST 8
0 of 8
Its own record against consensus. 8 prints is a small sample, which is why the cohort rate above carries the probability.
Beat and still fellSHARE OF ALL PRINTS
8%
Of every report in the window, this share both beat consensus and closed lower on the day.
Rose after a missP(ROSE | MISS)
40%
The mirror of the line above, over its own denominator.
Typical earnings moveMEDIAN ABSOLUTE
±7.0%
Unsigned magnitudes from its own prints. Direction is not part of this read.
Reaction: beat vs missData unavailableThe beat-versus-miss reaction gap is not computed for this name — undetermined — needs ≥12 measured beats.
Dividends & income
Data unavailableThis company does not pay a dividend. There is no yield, payout ratio or ex-dividend date to show, and the return case rests entirely on capital gains.
Signal
Not an income position.
No dividend is declared, so nothing here contributes to total return except the price. That is a fact about the security, not a criticism of it.
Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geography
Data unavailableRevenue by segment and region is not on file for this name, so product and geographic concentration are not shown.
Pattern reliability · platform-wide cohortSnapshot · Nov 6, 2026
Downtrend · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%0.0%1,308,676
21d47%0.0%613,759
63d47%-0.9%195,225
slope -0.76 over 40 bars
Hammer · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d45%-0.7%77,879
21d47%-0.8%36,586
63d46%-1.5%11,713
long lower shadow, small body at top
Bullish harami · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d49%-0.1%134,179
21d48%-0.3%63,306
63d49%-0.2%20,229
small body inside prior bearish
Gap up · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d42%-1.2%185,691
21d42%-2.3%87,367
63d42%-4.6%27,599
opened 10.0% above prior close
03-16.1× FORWARD
Price & timing
Price $6.02, -16.1× forward earnings, RSI 35.
↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Trend
Below every average0 OF 3 AVERAGES
50-day $9.78 · 200-day $11.48. Price above both is the structural definition of an uptrend.
The setup right now
Price · 504 sessions2024-11-04 → 2026-11-06
price50-day200-day
How to read this
Up 13.28% on the session.
Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.
Momentum (RSI-14)COOL
35
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
Typical day (ATR-14)±13.2%
$0.79
The average true range — how far this stock moves on an ordinary day. It sets the scale a stop has to clear.
MACDBELOW SIGNAL
-0.07
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Bollinger position14% OF RANGE
Lower band
Where price sits inside its own volatility band. The edges are where a move is stretched, not where it reverses.
20-day VWAPPRICE BELOW
$7.32
The volume-weighted average of the last month. Price above it means recent buyers are, on average, in profit.
Chandelier exitBROKEN
$7.91
A volatility-based trailing stop, set a few average ranges below the recent high.
10 Nov 2026 · in 2 daysNext earningsThe next scheduled catalyst. The forward guide usually moves the tape more than the printed number.
2026-11-10 · in 2 daysInflation (CPI)A scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Pullback riskoverstretch read
In line1.00× segment rate · n=1,289
Historically, crypto names in this tape state saw a ≥20% pullback within 63 trading days in 87% of cases (n=1,289).
Overstretchvs the 20-day mean
-1.4σ
How many standard deviations price sits from its 20-day mean. Beyond 2σ is genuinely stretched; inside it is ordinary.
Bottom zoneif it breaks down
$5 – $62 supports
Where prior demand appeared: S1 at $5.59, Low 52w at $5.03.
Slide scorefalling-knife check
85 / 100Falling knife
A composite of consecutive down days, gap risk and volume expansion. Low means any decline is orderly.
Signal
The odds lean, the stretch qualifies it.
Not enough fundamental coverage to score this name's red-flag cohort — no 12-month odds shown.
Valuation
Net cash per shareNET DEBT
$-3.98
Cash less every borrowing, per share. It is the part of the price that is not a claim on future profits.
Multiples
Forward P/EAnalysts expect a loss over the next twelve months, so there are no earnings for the price to be a multiple of.Not meaningful5yr median 32×
Price / salesprice against revenue, before any of it becomes profit2.3×5yr median 3.4×
Price / bookprice against the accounting value of the assets1.6×
EV / EBITDAthe multiple an acquirer would pay7.0×
FCF yieldfree cash flow per dollar of market value-143.15%
1 of the 4 priced multiples above sits in the richer half of its band. 1 is marked not meaningful because the figure it divides into is negative — shown as absent rather than as a low, cheap-looking number. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timingNov 6, 2026
Entryzone of 52-week low + S1
$5.98In zone
Where the composer's entry sits, on its own stated basis.
TargetSma 50 + vwap 50
$9.74$10–$10
A zone, not a price. It is where the composer expects supply, not a forecast.
StopCap3atr
$4.54risk $1.44/sh
The level that says the setup is wrong, on the basis named beside it.
Risk / rewardtarget vs stop
2.60:1
Reward against risk on the composer's own levels.
Measure from a price$
To the 50-day
+62.8%
short-term trend line · $9.78
To the 200-day
+91.1%
primary trend line · $11.48
To the composer's target
+62.1%
Sma 50 + vwap 50 · set Nov 6, 2026 · $9.74
To the composer's stop
-24.4%
Cap3atr · set Nov 6, 2026 · $4.54
To the 52-week high
+287.7%
highest print of the past year · $23.30
To the 52-week low
-16.3%
lowest print of the past year · $5.03
A typical day (ATR)
$5.22 – $6.80
±$0.79 average true range
Type any price to re-measure every distance from it. Each row is a level this page already states somewhere else, so nothing here is a new number — and none of it is a recommendation to trade at that price.
Signal
The levels line up.
Entry $5.98 · stop $4.54 · target $9.74, a 2.60:1 ratio. The composer flagged: earnings soon, elevated distress.
Gamma map
Data unavailableThis name has no listed options chain, so there is no dealer gamma to map. Regime, flip level, walls and the implied move all need a chain to exist.
Options tape
Data unavailableNo options chain is connected for this ticker. Max pain, the put/call ratio, the implied move and the open-interest ladder all need the chain feed.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL -7
Ownership & flow
Institutions hold 76%, short interest is 47.72% of float.
↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
-7MODERATE · 30d
0 bull / 2 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Earnings4 QUARTERS · TIMING
-3
latest EPS missed by 15%
Quality / valueTTM · CONTEXT
-4
weak Piotroski F-score (3/9)
Signal
0 bull / 2 bear factors
Independent factors scored and netted to -7 over 30d, a moderate reading. 2 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.
Cross-category read
Data unavailableFewer independent evidence families are ready than the engine's minimum, so there is nothing to check for agreement. A cross-category read over two categories is not a read.
Wall Street
Data unavailableNo sell-side firm publishes research on this name. There is no consensus rating, no price target and no estimate revisions to weigh — for a company this size that is the norm rather than a gap in our data.
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipINSTITUTIONALLY HELD
76.1%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
28.8%
The share held by the people running the company.
Short interest (float)CROWDED
47.72%
Rising — shares short changed +9.3% over 30 days. A crowded short is fuel in both directions.
Free float53% OF SHARES
125.94M
Shares actually available to trade, excluding insider and restricted holdings.
Dollar volume (ADV)83rd PCTILE
$71.43M/day
Average dollars traded per day, and where that ranks cross-sectionally. Thin liquidity is a cost you pay on the way out, not just on the way in.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved todayNONE
+13.28%
BTDR rose +13.28% since the last close — no identified catalyst in our coverage.
Congress
Data unavailableNo congressional trades in this name have been disclosed under the STOCK Act. Lawmakers' disclosed trades cluster heavily in large caps, so an empty list is the usual state.
0517 graded callsHIGH VOLATILITY
Risk & track record
Beta 4.05, 122% annual volatility, a -76% worst drawdown, and 2 of 8 risk surfaces clear.
↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
A very bad day (EVT)
−23.3%1-IN-200 DAY
Fitted to the tail of the return distribution rather than assuming a bell curve. Size the position so a day like this is survivable.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
Beyond the tail (ES)1-IN-1,000 DAY
−37.9%
The average loss on a 1-in-1,000 day or worse — deeper in the tail than the 1-in-200 figure above and further than the measured history reaches, so it reads as the scale of a crash, not a forecast of one.
Tail understatementNEAR-NORMAL
1.2×
The tail runs close to what a normal curve would predict, so volatility is a reasonable proxy for risk here — which is not true of every name.
Max drawdownIT CAN HALVE
-75.9%
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
Beta (vs the market)AMPLIFIES
4.05
Moves about 4.1× the market over the past year.
Annualized volatilityELEVATED
122%
How far it swings over a year, from its own realized returns.
Tactical phaseNIGHTLY READ
Falling knife
Selling pressure65
Buying pressure0
Overheat0
State: falling_knife — Still breaking lower without consolidation — a fresh swing-low printed and no basing pattern has formed yet.
What votes againstNightly
HighQuality / valueweak Piotroski F-score (3/9)TTM · -4
HighEarningslatest EPS missed by 15%4 quarters · -3
Signal
2 of 9 factors vote against.
Ranked by the size of each factor's own point contribution to the net signal — these are the model's stated reasons, not a written bear case. Each one is scored from the source named beside it.
Failure modes · by company typeRouted as: Crypto-equity
Signal
Routed as Crypto-equity.
Failure modes are routed by company type, and the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are the validated ones. This name routes as Crypto-equity, so the 2 checks above are that cohort's, not a generic list.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Avoid score6-month distress
38.8%4.2× its cohort · most-traded mega-caps
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this most-traded mega-caps segment: 9.3%. This name reads 4.2× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
LowPosition sizeThe sizing model has not covered this name, so no defensible cap is published for it.Not scored
LowLottery-ticket behaviourNot scored for this name.Not scored
HighCash runwayAbout 0.3 quarters of cash at current burn ($149M cash against $2.0B a year of burn) - names in this bucket: 28.6% catastrophe rate within a year.Solvency
LowPost-earnings driftDrift odds at full strength (+2.24% / 63-day spread reference from measured post-earnings drift).Timing
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowRestatement historyFiling history is not deep enough to check for restatements.Not scored
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
2 of 8 surfaces clear.
8 surfaces checked, 2 clear. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.
Who should skip it
Skip it if any of these is you
You can't sit through -76%
That is this name's deepest measured fall, on 122% annualized volatility. A drawdown of that size is normal here, not exceptional.
You want income
A 0.00% yield is a rounding error against cash. This is a capital-gains position.
You're already heavy in this market
A 4.05 beta means you would be stacking the same bet rather than spreading it.
You'd be buying into earnings
A report lands in 2 days.
Our track record17 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
38 logged
38 calls logged on this name, 17 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
0610-K disclosed linksAPPLICATION SOFTWARE
The wider context
5 mapped peers, 3 connections.
↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
-8.6% per +1ppSECTOR
This is the SECTOR prior, not a measurement of this name — the regression did not clear its own bar. The verdict beside it (headwind) comes from the prior too, so the two agree by construction rather than by evidence.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
SAPGFPeer$232.45-3.32%
SAPPeer$233.45-4.14%
SHOPPeer$148.91+3.59%
CRMPeer$213.65-3.94%
UBERPeer$68.59-0.28%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
Time machineHistory from 2023-06-01
Signal
1 of 4 backward windows are positive.
Look-back returns describe what happened, not what is likely. They are here to set the scale a future move would be measured on.
Macro driversRolling window
Next macro catalystIN 2 DAYS
Inflation (CPI)
2026-11-10. A scheduled release that moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Events · what moves this stockNov 4, 2026
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Software companies' value is mostly future profits, which are worth less when rates rise.
Typical for the Application Software industry
On the day -0.7% · A week later +0.2% · Two weeks later +1.8% · Rose on 15 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) reports since Jun 28, 2023, BTDR moved -0.7% on average on the day and was 1.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Core inflation (core CPI) is due in 2 days.
Core inflation (core CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expectedSoftware companies' value is mostly future profits, which are worth less when rates rise.
Typical for the Application Software industry
On the day +1.3% · A week later +8.4% · Two weeks later +8.7% · Rose on 21 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Core inflation (core CPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, BTDR moved +1.3% on average on the day and was 8.7% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
FOMC decisionUsually hurts when the Fed sounds more hawkish than expected
Software profits are mostly far in the future and worth less at higher rates.
Typical for the Application Software industry
On the day -0.3% · A week later +2.8% · Two weeks later +7.0% · Rose on 18 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 FOMC decision reports since Jul 1, 2023, BTDR moved -0.3% on average on the day and was 7.0% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Inflation (CPI) is due in 2 days.
Inflation (CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expectedSoftware companies' value is mostly future profits, which are worth less when rates rise.
Typical for the Application Software industry
On the day +1.3% · A week later +8.4% · Two weeks later +8.7% · Rose on 21 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Inflation (CPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, BTDR moved +1.3% on average on the day and was 8.7% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
PCE inflationUsually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Software companies' value is mostly future profits, which are worth less when rates rise.
Typical for the Application Software industry
On the day -0.7% · A week later +0.2% · Two weeks later +1.8% · Rose on 15 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 PCE inflation reports since Jun 28, 2023, BTDR moved -0.7% on average on the day and was 1.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Initial jobless claimsUsually helps when more people file for benefits than expected
Rising joblessness pushes the Fed toward lower rates, which lifts growth-priced tech.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day -0.1% · A week later +1.5% · Two weeks later +3.8% · Rose on 83 of 172 report days
Across the last 172 Initial jobless claims reports since Jun 8, 2023, BTDR moved -0.1% on average on the day and was 3.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Producer prices (PPI) is due in 5 days.
Producer prices (PPI)Usually hurts when producer prices run hotter than expectedSoftware companies' value is mostly future profits, which are worth less when rates rise.
Typical for the Application Software industry
On the day +1.1% · A week later +7.4% · Two weeks later +8.1% · Rose on 21 of 40 report days
Across the last 40 Producer prices (PPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, BTDR moved +1.1% on average on the day and was 8.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Job openings (JOLTS)Usually hurts when job openings come in higher than expected
Strong hiring tells the Fed it can keep rates high, which weighs on growth-priced tech.
Typical for the Technology sector
On the day -0.6% · A week later +0.5% · Two weeks later +5.0% · Rose on 19 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Job openings (JOLTS) reports since Jul 5, 2023, BTDR moved -0.6% on average on the day and was 5.0% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Customer momentum
Data unavailableCustomer momentum needs listed customers that disclose a revenue dependence on this company, and none is on file. The connections below are a different map: competitors and partners, most of them curated rather than filed.
Connections3 links · none confirmed
Direct connections · 3 edges
CompanyRelationSessionProvenance
MARA · Competitorcompetitor+8.09%Rumored · manual
TSM · Suppliersupplier+6.33%Rumored · manual
NVDA · Suppliersupplier+2.78%Rumored · manual
0 of 3 edges are named in a filing; the rest come from reporting we have not matched to one yet, and are labelled as such.
Glossary · every term on this page
Survival
Altman Z
Bankruptcy-risk score. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Piotroski F
Nine pass/fail health tests; 7 or more is strong.
Beneish M
Accrual and growth pattern screen. Clear below −2.22, watch to −1.78, elevated above; a year of very fast revenue growth lifts it by construction.
Merton DTD
Standard deviations of asset value between the company and its debt.
EDF
Default frequency calibrated on what actually happened to similar names.
Price & tape
RSI-14
Momentum gauge 0–100. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold.
ATR
Average true range — the size of a typical day.
VWAP
20-day volume-weighted average price — the average paid over the last month; the page shows no intraday VWAP.
Supertrend
A trend-following stop line. A close through it flips the read.
Chandelier
A trailing stop set a few average ranges below the recent high.
Options & flow
Gamma / GEX
Dealer hedging pressure. Negative gamma amplifies moves both ways.
Call / put wall
The strikes with the heaviest open interest; they act as ceiling and floor.
Max pain
The strike where most options expire worthless.
13F · Form 4
Institutional filings, 45 days after quarter end. Insider trades, within two days.
Scoring
Composite signal
Independent factors scored and netted into one number.
Hit-rate
Share of past calls that resolved in the direction stated.
Brier score
Calibration measure. Lower means stated probabilities track reality.
HHI
Concentration 0–10,000. Above 2,500 means one segment carries the company.
EVT
Fits the tail rather than assuming a bell curve, so bad days are not understated.