Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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BTDR fair-value estimate

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 3.44M · 3-mo avg 11.88M

Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR)

BTDRBitdeer Technologies Grouploading…
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QTick signal
-7net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 0 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$11.18
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$12.01
center $12.01 · basis · round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.05× the norm · 88% saw a ≥20% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.75×
52-week range$6.92 – $27.80
Below high since 2021-59.6% · $27.80 high
Risk / reward
Plan stop$9.48
Max pain
RSI 1450.0 fires under 35 · fires near $9.43
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiplen.m. — no profit expected
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-71.6% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 33% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
50.0
fires under 35 · fires near $9.43
vs 50-day
$11.04
above the line · fires near $11.12
Bollinger
$9.95
no lower pierce · fires near $9.70
VWAP 20
$11.26
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $11.25
Entry level
$11.18
level below · fires near $11.28
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
+0.04
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.75×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
44.1%
44.1% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$0.85
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-09
in 37 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file