SAP SE (SAPGF) — $207.96 +1.24%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

SAPGFpeers & supply-chain relationships

SAPGF fair-value estimate

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 5.4K · Avg 153.2K
SAPGFSAP SE$207.96+1.24%

WAIT.

The business passes the quality checks — the entry price doesn't.

1 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
1 of 5 aligned — not yet
Quality is there; waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.1× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$206.96
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$292–296
center $293.63 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs 20-day avg0.04× · 5.4K vs 153.2K avg
52-week range$157.91 – $314.08
Below high since 2023-33.8% · $314.08 high
Risk / reward1 : 3.8
Plan stop$184.05
Max pain
RSI 1474.9 overbought
Forensic flags0 clean
What-if price
$207.96
$166.37 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+7.7% · $223.93+7.7%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
74.9
overbought
vs 50-day
$169.30
above the line · fires near $170.01
Bollinger
$135.81
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
$169.33
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $169.23
Entry level
$206.96
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+2.18
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.04×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
not on file
ATRStatic
$7.98
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
21 Oct 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 70 days
Next dividend
1.41% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed