SAP SE (SAP) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 10:43 AM ETVol 1.56M · 3-mo avg 2.64M

SAP SE (SAP)

SAPSAP SEloading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~6% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 16/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$209.63
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$275–278
center $276.56 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.80×
52-week range$144.97 – $281.37
Below high since 2015-32.8% · $313.28 high
Risk / reward5.79 : 1
Plan stop$199.30
Max pain—
RSI 1452.1 fires under 35 · fires near $192.74
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple21.7× fwd · 27.5× trailing
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield3.3% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
52.1
fires under 35 · fires near $192.74
vs 50-day
●
$200.86
above the line · fires near $202.67
Bollinger
●
$203.92
no lower pierce · fires near $202.43
VWAP 20
✓
$213.40
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$209.63
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-1.39
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.80×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.16
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-21
in 18 sessions
Next dividend
1.39% yld
no ex-date on file