SAP SE (SAP) — $208.55 +1.16%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

SAPpeers & supply-chain relationships

SAP fair-value estimate

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.00M · Avg 3.17M
SAPSAP SE$208.55+1.16%Pre-market$209.61+0.51%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
1 of 5 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.0× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$207.51
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$286–290
center $288.01 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs 20-day avg0.95× · 3.00M vs 3.17M avg
52-week range$144.97 – $281.37
Below high since 2015-33.4% · $313.28 high
Risk / reward1 : 3.5
Plan stop$184.59
Max pain
RSI 1476.1 overbought
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$208.55
$166.84 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+7.9% · $225.00+7.9%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
76.1
overbought
vs 50-day
$169.34
above the line · fires near $170.23
Bollinger
$135.50
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
$172.91
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $172.84
Entry level
$207.51
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+4.28
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.95×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
0.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.23
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
21 Oct 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 70 days
Next dividend
1.40% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed