Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) — $12.84 +0.43%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

DXpeers & supply-chain relationships

DX fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 551.5K · Avg 4.92M
DXDynex Capital, Inc.$12.84+0.43%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$12.72
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$12.86
center $12.86 · basis · daily pivot + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.55
4.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
~61% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 0.8× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.11× · 551.5K vs 4.92M avg
52-week range$11.83 – $14.93
Below high since 2015-51.2% · $26.18 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.3
Plan stop$12.27
Max pain$12.50 options cluster
RSI 1448.2 fires under 35 · fires near $12.25
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$12.84
$12.17 · -5.2%-5.2%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.3% · $13.39+4.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
48.2
fires under 35 · fires near $12.25
vs 50-day
$12.80
at the line
Bollinger
$12.48
no lower pierce · fires near $12.41
VWAP 20
$12.89
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$12.72
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$12.50
OI strike below · fires near $12.56
MACD
+0.01
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.11×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
4.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
19 Oct 2026
· in 68 days
Next dividend
15.89% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed