Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) — Mortgage REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:03 PM ETVol 2.03M · 3-mo avg 6.49M

Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX)

DXDynex Capital, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 4/100 · Nov 10
$10.76
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 1.3% below it
$11.15
near the top of its usual range and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $11.15 · Nov 9
±$0.83
±7.8% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume42% below normal0.58× its 20-day average
Past year's range$10.31 – $14.93lowest to highest price
From its peak58.7% belowpeak $26.18, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.51 to 1$0.51 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$9.98the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$12.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)48.0fires under 35 · fires near $9.67
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit37.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 82%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 11.7×

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 1.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
48.0
fires under 35 · fires near $9.67
vs 50-day
✓
$11.26
below the line
Bollinger
●
$10.43
no lower pierce · fires near $10.38
VWAP 20
✓
$10.76
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$10.76
below the model level
Put wall
●
$10.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.03
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.58×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
8.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.30
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-25
in 50 sessions
Next dividend
19.22% yld
no ex-date on file
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