Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) — Mortgage REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 9.21M · 3-mo avg 5.29M

Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD)

STWDStarwood Property Trust, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 53/100 · Nov 9
$11.99
near the 52-week low, a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$13–14
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $13.40 · Nov 9
±$0.01
±0.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume41% above normal1.41× its 20-day average
Past year's range$11.84 – $18.66lowest to highest price
From its peak55.9% belowpeak $27.31, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.55 to 1$1.55 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$11.18the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$10.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)37.5fires under 35 · fires near $11.82
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit20.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 98%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 16.0×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price unchanged. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
37.5
fires under 35 · fires near $11.82
vs 50-day
✓
$13.47
below the line
Bollinger
●
$11.90
no lower pierce · fires near $11.84
VWAP 20
✓
$12.43
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$11.99
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$9.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context✓
+0.13
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.41×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.40
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-09
reported today · reaction session open
Next dividend
15.93% yld
no ex-date on file