Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) — $10.11 −0.79%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

RITMpeers & supply-chain relationships

RITM fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.96M · Avg 5.70M
RITMRithm Capital Corp.$10.11-0.79%Pre-market$10.15+0.40%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$10.06
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$11–12
center $11.55 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.44
4.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~85% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg1.05× · 5.96M vs 5.70M avg
52-week range$8.43 – $12.74
Below high since 2015-47.0% · $19.07 high
Risk / reward1 : 2.3
Plan stop$9.42
Max pain$14.00 options cluster
RSI 1463.6 fires under 35 · fires near $8.39
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$10.11
$8.36 · -17.3%-17.3%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.4% · $10.55+4.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
63.6
fires under 35 · fires near $8.39
vs 50-day
$9.26
above the line · fires near $9.33
Bollinger
$8.75
no lower pierce · fires near $8.60
VWAP 20
$9.62
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $9.62
Entry level
$10.06
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$10.00
OI strike below · fires near $10.04
MACD
+0.05
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.05×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
7.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.29
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
29 Oct 2026
· in 78 days
Next dividend
9.89% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed