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‹ Back to the callVSNTVersant Media Group, Inc.$35.18-3.17%
Deep dive · NasdaqGS: VSNT

Versant Media Group, Inc. stock analysis

Everything behind the call on Versant Media Group, Inc. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.

The five reads
Why the reads disagreeread this before the sections

2 factors lean up and 1 lean down and the split is genuine rather than a formality. The net lands at +2 over 30d, a balanced reading, which makes this a question of size rather than of direction.

Leans up · and why
earnings, analyst moves vote up.
Leans down · and why
sentiment vote down.
What it changes
Size, not direction. dealers are long gamma, so their hedging absorbs moves rather than amplifying them; and the binding position cap is 2.2% — the tail cap is the one that binds.
Global tapeOverseas lean-0.30%
MéxicoVSNT*0.00%FrankfurtX06-0.61%
Where else this company trades. A closed venue shows its last close, marked ⏱ — not a live price. Overseas lean is the average move across the 2 overseas venues listed above, excluding the home listing — a read on overnight sentiment rather than a signal.
The bottom linestart hereAs of 2026-09-18
Wall Street rating
Hold
+31% to the average target
29% buy · 71% hold · 0% sell
median target $46
Earnings
In 48 days
5 Nov 2026 · options imply ±5.2%
cohort P(beat) 61% · n=139,757
Valuation
5.9× forward
Against consensus earnings
FCF yield 37.89%
Dividend
4.26%
Forward annual yield at today's price
Risk flags
3 on watch
5 checks run, 1 clear
beta 0.53 · vol 35% ann.
worst drawdown -42%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
NasdaqGS · USDEntertainment Content
$35.18-1.15 · -3.17%CLOSED · vol 5.80M
52-week range↑ 29% off low · ↓ 40.4% off high
$27.17now $35.18$59.00
After-hours
$35.20+0.06%
Sep 18, 2026 · 7:58 PM ET
Quote Sep 18, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET
Tape 2026-09-17
Factors 2026-09-18
01Ratios · Jul 8, 2026

Survival & solvency

and 1 of 5 forensic checks clear.

↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Distance to default (Merton)
3.7σTHIN
How many standard deviations of asset value sit between the company and its debt. Above 4σ is comfortable.
Balance sheetJul 8, 2026
1-year default probabilityEDF-CALIBRATED
0.53%
Calibrated against how often companies at this distance actually defaulted, rather than assuming a normal distribution.
Method · empirical EDF bucket · pooled cohort · n=47,237 · 248 events · OOS AUC 0.896
Piotroski F-scoreWATCH
F 5/8
Piotroski F-score 5 of 8. Nine pass/fail tests covering profitability, leverage and operating efficiency; seven or more is strong.
Solvency and liquidity ratios
Current ratioshort-term assets against short-term bills4.02×healthy >2
Debt / equityborrowings against shareholder capital0.10
Net debtborrowings in excess of cash on hand$928.00M
Your ownership stake
Share-count growth vs peersLOW DILUTION
25th pctile
Where this name's share-count growth ranks among peers. Lower is less dilutive.
Stock-based comp / revenueIN LINE
0.4%
Stock comp is the dilution pressure a buyback has to outrun. We read up to 5% of revenue as modest and above 12% as heavy — our own reading band, not a measured peer statistic.
Accounting forensicsSEC filings
Red-flag x-rayGRADE C
62 / 100
0 critical · 3 watch · 1 clear of 4 scored tests
1 of 5 checks clear
Red-flag x-ray · every check, passes included
CheckStatusValueWhat it looks for
Bankruptcy distressNAn/aAltman-Z not available · fundamentals
Earnings manipulationWATCHM -3.02M-score in range (m5 7/8) · fundamentals
LeverageCLEARLTD/E 0.09long-term debt 0.09× equity · fundamentals
Profitability qualityWATCHF 5/8Piotroski F-score 5 of 8 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsWATCH2 flags2 filing red flags on the latest 10-K · forensic
5 checks, 1 clear and 3 watch. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02Refreshed · Sep 18, 2026FAIR · 52/100

Business quality

14% net margin, 9% return on equity, -5% revenue growth.

↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
Quality score
52 / 100FAIR
Profitability · net margin 14%
Growth · revenue -5% YoY
Balance strength · debt/equity 0.10
Profitability, growth and balance strength scored separately, then blended.
ProfitabilityRefreshed · Sep 18, 2026
Net marginOF EVERY SALES DOLLAR
13.9%
The share of revenue that survives every cost and becomes profit.
Gross marginPRICING POWER
56.1%
What is left of a sales dollar before overhead — the clearest read on pricing power.
Operating marginAFTER RUNNING COSTS
19.0%
What survives the cost of running the whole business.
Return on equityPER $1 OF EQUITY
9.0%
Annual return on each dollar of shareholder equity.
Asset growth vs peersIN LINE
45th pctile
The balance sheet grew +2% on the year. Fast asset growth is usually a ramp; occasionally it is the start of an inventory problem.
As of · Sep 13, 2026
Growth & relative strength
Trailing return by period
1 month
-7.5%
3 months
-4.9%
6 months
+2.3%
Year to date
-22.1%
Revenue growth (YoY)SHRINKING
-5.3%
Revenue against the same period a year ago.
EPS growth (YoY)IN LINE
-31.8%
Earnings per share against a year ago. Running ahead of revenue means margins are widening.
Relative-strength rankBOTTOM 44%
44 / 100
Where this name's 3-month return against the S&P 500 ranks across the market — a quarter's standing, not the year's.
Around earningsAug 6, 2026
P(beat next quarter)COHORT BASE RATE
61%
survivor-tilted universe (currently-listed names; large-cap-skewed coverage)
cohort n=139,757 · this name's own n=2
Beat rate · this nameTRAILING
1 of 2
Its own record against consensus. 2 prints is a small sample, which is why the cohort rate above carries the probability.
n=2 measured prints
Typical earnings moveData unavailableRealized move magnitudes are not published for this name yet — needs ≥8 measured prints · 0 on file.
Reaction: beat vs missData unavailableThe beat-versus-miss reaction gap is not computed for this name — undetermined — needs ≥12 measured beats.
Consensus biasVALIDATED
Persistent
insufficient surprise history
As of · Aug 6, 2026
Next reportIN 48 DAYS
5 Nov 2026
Reports bmo · consensus EPS $0.13 · revenue 1.6 B
Dividends & income
Dividend yieldforward annual
4.26%
The cash return the payment alone provides at today's price.
Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geography
Data unavailableRevenue by segment and region is not on file for this name, so product and geographic concentration are not shown.
Pattern reliability · platform-wide cohortSnapshot · Sep 18, 2026
Uptrend · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%-0.1%1,125,547
21d47%-0.2%529,218
63d48%-0.9%169,468
slope +0.08 over 40 bars
Rising wedge · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d48%0.0%225,880
21d49%0.0%106,279
63d50%0.0%34,043
rising & converging — bearish
035.9× FORWARD

Price & timing

Price $35.18, 5.9× forward earnings, RSI 34, and dealers long gamma.

↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Momentum (RSI-14)
34COOL
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
The setup right now
Price · 190 sessions2025-12-152026-09-17
$25$34$43$52$61CALL WALL $40PUT WALL $35$36.33
price50-day200-daylevel
How to read this
Down 3.17% on the session.

Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.

The dashed levels are the strikes the options chain is most committed to. They are the same numbers the gamma block states; nothing here is drawn that no section derives.

Market cap$4.90B
Day range$34.49 – $36.49
Above 52-week low+29%
Realized volatility35% ann.
Worst drawdown-42.2%
Typical day (ATR-14)±3.7%
$1.30
The average true range — how far this stock moves on an ordinary day. It sets the scale a stop has to clear.
MACDBELOW SIGNAL
-0.40
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Bollinger position0% OF RANGE
Lower band
Where price sits inside its own volatility band. The edges are where a move is stretched, not where it reverses.
20-day VWAPPRICE BELOW
$39.04
The volume-weighted average of the last month. Price above it means recent buyers are, on average, in profit.
Chandelier exitBROKEN
$38.45
A volatility-based trailing stop, set a few average ranges below the recent high.
Pivots (classic)R1 $37 · S1 $36
$36.84
The last settled session's range projected forward. Reference levels, not predictions — after a big gap they can sit on the wrong side of the price until the next close.
5 Nov 2026 · in 48 daysNext earningsThe next scheduled catalyst. The forward guide usually moves the tape more than the printed number. Date as the vendor last stated it on 28 Aug; companies confirm about three weeks ahead, so it can still move.
2026-09-25 · in 7 daysConsumer SentimentA scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Pullback riskoverstretch read
Elevated1.12× segment rate · n=850
Historically, mid names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 89% of cases (n=850).
Overstretchvs the 20-day mean
-1.7σ
How many standard deviations price sits from its 20-day mean. Beyond 2σ is genuinely stretched; inside it is ordinary.
Bottom zoneif it breaks down
$34 – $363 supports
Where prior demand appeared: S1 at $35.73, Pivot low at $35.10, Pivot low at $34.99.
Slide scorefalling-knife check
72 / 100Falling knife
A composite of consecutive down days, gap risk and volume expansion. Low means any decline is orderly.
Valuation
Earnings yield vs cashABOVE CASH
9.77pp
The earnings yield clears the risk-free rate, so the current return alone competes with cash.
Net cash per shareNET DEBT
$-6.42
Cash less every borrowing, per share. It is the part of the price that is not a claim on future profits.
Multiples
Forward P/Eearnings expected over the next 12 months5.9×
Trailing P/Eearnings already reported6.5×
Price / salesprice against revenue, before any of it becomes profit0.7×
Price / bookprice against the accounting value of the assets0.5×
EV / EBITDAthe multiple an acquirer would pay2.6×
EV / free cash flowenterprise value against the cash the business throws off3.1×
FCF yieldfree cash flow per dollar of market value37.89%
0 of the 7 priced multiples above sit in the richer half of its band. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timingSep 17, 2026
Entryzone of pivot low + S1
$36.15In zone deep
Where the composer's entry sits, on its own stated basis.
TargetRound + sma 50 + vwap 50
$37.68$37–$38
A zone, not a price. It is where the composer expects supply, not a forecast.
Stop2× ATR below entry
$33.54risk $2.60/sh
The level that says the setup is wrong, on the basis named beside it.
Risk / rewardtarget vs stop
0.59:1flagged low
Less reward than risk at these levels. The composer publishes it rather than hiding it, because a sub-1 ratio is the argument against the trade.
Measure from a price$
To the 50-day
+7.0%
short-term trend line · $37.65
To the put wall
-0.5%
heaviest put open interest · $35.00
To the call wall
+13.7%
heaviest call open interest · $40.00
To the composer's target
+7.1%
Round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · set Sep 17, 2026 · $37.68
To the composer's stop
-4.6%
2× ATR below entry · set Sep 17, 2026 · $33.54
To the 52-week high
+67.7%
highest print of the past year · $59.00
To the 52-week low
-22.8%
lowest print of the past year · $27.17
Options-implied week ±5.2%
$33.36 – $37.00
what the chain prices for the week
A typical day (ATR)
$33.88 – $36.48
±$1.30 average true range
Type any price to re-measure every distance from it. Each row is a level this page already states somewhere else, so nothing here is a new number — and none of it is a recommendation to trade at that price.
Signal
Less reward than risk at this level.

Entry $36.15 · stop $33.54 · target $37.68, a 0.59:1 ratio. The composer flagged: fair-value reference, low reward to risk.

Gamma mapChain · Sep 19, 2026
Signal
Long gamma — moves get absorbed.

Dealers hedge against the move, which damps volatility around the current strikes. It makes the tape quieter without saying anything about which way it goes.

Dealer-hedging mechanics. Useful if you trade options; the takeaway above is what it means for the share price.
Options tapeFront expiry 2026-10-16 · Chain · Sep 19, 2026
Max pain-0.5%
$35.00
The strike where most open options expire worthless. Price often drifts toward it into expiry.
Front expiry 2026-10-16
Put / call ratio (OI)CALL-HEAVY
0.61
62% calls
38% puts
Open interest in puts against calls. Heavy call interest often caps how far price can run before expiry.
Put / call ratio (volume)TODAY'S FLOW
1.41
Today's traded flow rather than the standing position. It moves faster and means less.
Expected move (1-week)≈ $1.82
±5.2%
What the chain prices for the week. A range the market is charging for, not a forecast.
of the chain spot $35.18
Largest open interest · front expiry
StrikeTypeOpen interest
$40.00CALL343
$35.00PUT243
$45.00CALL68
$35.00CALL47
$30.00PUT20
$40.00PUT15
Large call interest above the price acts as a magnet and a ceiling; large put interest below is a floor of hedges. The biggest strike is the level the market is most committed to defending into the next expiry.
Open interest by strikeexpires 2026-10-16CallsPutsMax pain $35.00
1
$55.00
068
$45.00
2343
$40.00
1547
$35.00
2430
$30.00
20
The shaded row is the strike nearest the price. Heavy call interest above acts as a ceiling; heavy put interest below is a floor of hedges.
52-week high$59.00+67.7%The highest print of the past year.Old highs draw profit-taking on the first attempt.
Call wall$40.00+13.7%Heaviest call open interest on the front expiry.Acts as a ceiling into expiry; a close above usually needs a catalyst.
Max pain$35.00-0.5%Where most open options expire worthless.Price often drifts toward it into the close of the expiry week.
50-day average$37.65+7.0%The line the short-term trend is measured against.A close beneath it is the first structural warning.
Put wall$35.00-0.5%Heaviest put open interest — a floor of hedges.Dealer buying tends to build as price approaches.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL +2

Ownership & flow

Institutions hold 89%, short interest is 4.20% of float, and 5 analysts average $46.

↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
+2BALANCED · 30d
Earnings +2
Analyst moves +1
Sentiment -1
2 bull / 1 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Analyst moves90D · TIMING
+1
1 price-target raise in 90d
Earnings4 QUARTERS · TIMING
+2
latest EPS beat by 5%
Sentiment1–30D · TIMING
-1
7d sentiment depressed (25/100)
Signal
2 bull / 1 bear factors

Independent factors scored and netted to +2 over 30d, a balanced reading. 3 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.

Cross-category read
Data unavailableFewer independent evidence families are ready than the engine's minimum, so there is nothing to check for agreement. A cross-category read over two categories is not a read.
Wall Street5 covering firms
Consensus rating5 ANALYSTS
Hold
29% buy · 71% hold · 0% sell, as a share of the 5 covering firms.
Median price target+31%
$46
$39now $35$60
A $39–$60 spread across the panel. A twelve-month view, and a wide spread means real disagreement rather than a consensus.
Forward EPS estimateCONSENSUS
$7.08
What the panel expects the company to earn per share.
next year · 3 analysts
Recent analyst moves · last 90 days
FirmTargetDirectionRank
TD Cowen$3948/100
Upgrades, downgrades and target changes from covering firms. A cluster of moves in one direction matters more than any single target; the rank is the firm's own credibility score, or a dash below the scoring floor.
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipINSTITUTIONALLY HELD
89.1%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
0.2%
The share held by the people running the company.
Short interest (float)LIGHT
4.20%
Rising — shares short changed +23.0% over 30 days. There is no short base to squeeze here.
Free float100% OF SHARES
140.64M
Shares actually available to trade, excluding insider and restricted holdings.
Dollar volume (ADV)82nd PCTILE
$67.69M/day
Average dollars traded per day, and where that ranks cross-sectionally. Thin liquidity is a cost you pay on the way out, not just on the way in.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
Insider filings · Form 4
InsiderTradeAmountPlanTraded
Lazarus Mark H · Director, Chief Executive OfficerTax withholding$230,88828 Jul
Campbell Rebecca · DirectorAward$185,00126 Jun
Conway Michael Aaron · DirectorAward$185,00126 Jun
Eun David · DirectorAward$185,00126 Jun
HASSELL GERALD L · DirectorAward$185,00126 Jun
Condon Creighton · DirectorAward$185,00126 Jun
Executives must file within two business days. Sales on pre-set 10b5-1 plans are scheduled months ahead and carry little signal; tax withholding, exercises and awards are compensation mechanics, not trades; the open-market lines are the ones to read.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved todayNEWS
-3.17%
VSNT fell −3.17% since the last close, amid recent coverage: “Versant Media shares fall after Trump bans MSNOW from White House - Investing.com Nigeria” (Investing.com Nigeria).
Matched · Sep 18, 2026 · source on file
News tone · 7-day
17 / 100
Headline polarity over the window, scored from news articles. Above 60 leans positive, below 40 negative. Colour, not a signal.
Newswire · 49 stories
WhenHeadlineSourceTone
7h agoVersant Media shares fall after Trump bans MSNOW from White House - Investing.com NigeriaInvesting.com Nigerianot scored
15h agoGoldman Sachs cuts Versant Media Group stock price target to $43 on ad revenue concerns - Investing.com CanadaInvesting.com Canadanot scored
15h agoGoldman Sachs cuts Versant Media Group stock price target to $43 on ad revenue concerns - Investing.comInvesting.comnot scored
18h agoBehavioral Patterns of VSNT and Institutional Flows - Stock Traders DailyStock Traders Dailynot scored
WedVersant (VSNT) Stock Trend: +1.28% Higher, $39.87 the Next Hurdle 2026-09-16 - Outside Reversal - dars.gov.etdars.gov.etnot scored
MonCNBC Is Versant’s Digital Bet Against a 6.3% Pay-TV Revenue Drop - TechStock²TechStock²not scored
Sat77,240 Shares in Versant Corporation $VSNT Acquired by WINTON GROUP Ltd - MarketBeatMarketBeatnot scored
Sep 10VIRGINIA RETIREMENT SYSTEMS ET Al Purchases New Position in Versant Corporation $VSNT - MarketBeatMarketBeatnot scored
Coverage published around the move, newest first. Nothing here measures causation — only the why-it-moved card above is matched to the tape by timestamp.
CongressSTOCK Act · 30–45d lag
Signal
Net selling.

2 of 6 disclosures are buys and 4 are sales. Lawmakers disclose on a 30–45 day legal lag, so this describes what was done weeks ago, not what is being done now.

Disclosed lawmaker trades, with their legal reporting lag.
0510 graded callsORDINARY VOLATILITY

Risk & track record

Beta 0.53, 35% annual volatility, a -42% worst drawdown, and 4 of 8 risk surfaces clear.

↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
Max drawdown
-42.2%WORST FALL
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
Beta (vs the market)LOW FIT
0.53
The market explains about 2.7% of its daily moves, so this beta says little about how it tracks the index — most of its movement is its own.
3-year beta 0.53
Annualized volatilityORDINARY
35%
How far it swings over a year, from its own realized returns.
Tactical phaseNIGHTLY READ
Falling knife
Selling pressure67
Buying pressure0
Overheat0
State: falling_knife — Still breaking lower without consolidation — a fresh swing-low printed and no basing pattern has formed yet.
0-100 · high = active · lit = the engine's own phase, cohort-banded
What votes againstNightly
LowSentiment7d sentiment depressed (25/100)1–30d · -1
Signal
1 of 9 factors vote against.

Ranked by the size of each factor's own point contribution to the net signal — these are the model's stated reasons, not a written bear case. Each one is scored from the source named beside it.

Failure modes · by company type
Data unavailableFailure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far. This name routes as growth, so there is no cohort-specific checklist to run. A generic list would read as analysis without being any.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Suggested position capmax defensible size
2.2%tail cap binds
max defensible size 2.2% - tail binds
Avoid score6-month distress
13.9%1.5× its cohort · most-traded mega-caps
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this most-traded mega-caps segment: 9.3%. This name reads 1.5× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
MedPosition size, not conviction, is the binding constrainthalf-Kelly 27.2% · tail cap 2.2% · category cap 54.6%. The tail cap binds, so 2.2% is the number (n=92,785). We show which one binds rather than the friendliest.Sizing
LowLottery-ticket behaviourIts best 21-day return sits at 3.9% against a 10.8% cohort 90th-percentile threshold — below the line where forward returns have historically turned negative.Behaviour
LowCash runwayNon-burner: catastrophe rate 6.1% (n=297414).Solvency
LowPost-earnings driftDrift odds at full strength (+2.24% / 63-day spread reference from measured post-earnings drift).Timing
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowRestatement historyFiling history is not deep enough to check for restatements.Not scored
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
4 of 8 surfaces clear.

8 surfaces checked, 4 clear. The binding constraint is position size — the tail cap is the one that binds. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.

Who should skip it
Skip it if any of these is you
You can't sit through -42%
That is this name's deepest measured fall, on 35% annualized volatility. A drawdown of that size is normal here, not exceptional.
You'd size it like a core holding
The binding cap is 2.2% of a portfolio. Above that the tail stops being survivable.
Our track record10 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
22 logged
22 calls logged on this name, 10 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
10 resolved · 12 open
Calls on VSNTTHIS NAME
22
This name's own call count. Too few have resolved to publish a rate over them, so none is shown rather than a rate over 10.
0610-K disclosed linksENTERTAINMENT CONTENT

The wider context

5 mapped peers, 4 connections.

↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
-38.3% per +1ppSECTOR
This is the SECTOR prior, not a measurement of this name — the regression did not clear its own bar. The verdict beside it (headwind) comes from the prior too, so the two agree by construction rather than by evidence.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
NFLXPeer$71.79-4.67%
DISPeer$102.67-2.54%
WBDPeer$27.80-1.56%
LYVPeer$167.12-0.72%
FWONKPeer$94.54+0.39%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
Time machineHistory from 2025-12-15
Signal
Every backward window is negative.

Look-back returns describe what happened, not what is likely. They are here to set the scale a future move would be measured on.

Historical retrospective. Context, not a forecast.
Macro driversRolling window
Next macro catalystIN 7 DAYS
Consumer Sentiment
2026-09-25. A scheduled release that moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Events · what moves this stockSep 15, 2026
Initial jobless claimsUsually helps when more people file for benefits than expected
Lower rates help growth-priced media and internet companies.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day +0.4% · A week later 0.0% · Two weeks later 0.0% · Rose on 21 of 36 report days
Across the last 36 Initial jobless claims reports since Dec 25, 2025, VSNT moved +0.4% on average on the day and was 0.0% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) is due in 11 days.
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Media and internet companies are valued on future growth, so higher rates for longer weigh on them.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day +0.3% · A week later -2.3% · Two weeks later -2.7% · Rose on 3 of 9 report days
Across the last 9 Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) reports since Dec 29, 2025, VSNT moved +0.3% on average on the day and was 2.7% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
PCE inflation is due in 11 days.
PCE inflationUsually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Media and internet companies are valued on future growth, so higher rates for longer weigh on them.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day +0.3% · A week later -2.3% · Two weeks later -2.7% · Rose on 3 of 9 report days
Across the last 9 PCE inflation reports since Dec 29, 2025, VSNT moved +0.3% on average on the day and was 2.7% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Core inflation (core CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Media and internet companies are valued on future growth, so higher rates for longer weigh on them.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day +0.5% · A week later +1.1% · Two weeks later +1.8% · Rose on 6 of 8 report days
Across the last 8 Core inflation (core CPI) reports since Jan 12, 2026, VSNT moved +0.5% on average on the day and was 1.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
FOMC decisionUsually hurts when the Fed sounds more hawkish than expected
Growth-priced media and internet companies fall when rates stay high.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day +0.6% · A week later -1.8% · Two weeks later +0.1% · Rose on 5 of 8 report days
Across the last 8 FOMC decision reports since Dec 31, 2025, VSNT moved +0.6% on average on the day and was 0.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.4% on those days.
Inflation (CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Media and internet companies are valued on future growth, so higher rates for longer weigh on them.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day +0.5% · A week later +1.1% · Two weeks later +1.8% · Rose on 6 of 8 report days
Across the last 8 Inflation (CPI) reports since Jan 12, 2026, VSNT moved +0.5% on average on the day and was 1.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
Job openings (JOLTS) is due in 10 days.
Job openings (JOLTS)Usually hurts when job openings come in higher than expected
More jobs means more ad spending, but the higher-rates reaction usually wins on the day.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day -2.4% · A week later -3.3% · Two weeks later -3.4% · Rose on 1 of 8 report days
Across the last 8 Job openings (JOLTS) reports since Jan 5, 2026, VSNT moved -2.4% on average on the day and was 3.4% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls) is due in 13 days.
Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)Usually hurts when hiring comes in stronger than expected
More jobs means more ad spending, but the higher-rates reaction usually wins on the day.
Typical for the Communication Services sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day -2.3% · A week later -3.4% · Two weeks later -2.7% · Rose on 2 of 8 report days
Across the last 8 Jobs report (nonfarm payrolls) reports since Jan 5, 2026, VSNT moved -2.3% on average on the day and was 2.7% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Customer momentum
Data unavailableCustomer momentum needs listed customers that disclose a revenue dependence on this company, and none is on file. The connections below are a different map: competitors and partners, most of them curated rather than filed.
Connections4 links · none confirmed
Direct connections · 4 edges
CompanyRelationSessionProvenance
CMCSA · Historical Spinoffpartner-0.74%Rumored · manual
CSCO · Suppliersupplier-0.66%Rumored · manual
GOOGL · Customercustomer+0.64%Rumored · manual
VZ · Competitorcompetitor-0.50%Rumored · manual
0 of 4 edges are named in a filing; the rest come from reporting we have not matched to one yet, and are labelled as such.
Suppliers, customers & competitors
Who depends on it
CMCSAHistorical Spinoffpartner
GOOGLCustomercustomer
What it depends on
CSCOSuppliersupplier
Named competitors
VZCompetitorcompetitor
Glossary · every term on this page
Survival
Altman Z

Bankruptcy-risk score. Above 3.0 is the safe band.

Piotroski F

Nine pass/fail health tests; 7 or more is strong.

Beneish M

Accrual and growth pattern screen. Clear below −2.22, watch to −1.78, elevated above; a year of very fast revenue growth lifts it by construction.

Merton DTD

Standard deviations of asset value between the company and its debt.

EDF

Default frequency calibrated on what actually happened to similar names.

Price & tape
RSI-14

Momentum gauge 0–100. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold.

ATR

Average true range — the size of a typical day.

VWAP

20-day volume-weighted average price — the average paid over the last month; the page shows no intraday VWAP.

Supertrend

A trend-following stop line. A close through it flips the read.

Chandelier

A trailing stop set a few average ranges below the recent high.

Options & flow
Gamma / GEX

Dealer hedging pressure. Negative gamma amplifies moves both ways.

Call / put wall

The strikes with the heaviest open interest; they act as ceiling and floor.

Max pain

The strike where most options expire worthless.

13F · Form 4

Institutional filings, 45 days after quarter end. Insider trades, within two days.

Scoring
Composite signal

Independent factors scored and netted into one number.

Hit-rate

Share of past calls that resolved in the direction stated.

Brier score

Calibration measure. Lower means stated probabilities track reality.

HHI

Concentration 0–10,000. Above 2,500 means one segment carries the company.

EVT

Fits the tail rather than assuming a bell curve, so bad days are not understated.

Deep dive