The Walt Disney Company (DIS) — $103.18 −1.43%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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DIS fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:04 PM ETVol 8.62M · Avg 10.63M
DISThe Walt Disney Company$103.18-1.43%Pre-market$103.17-0.01%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.0× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$102.66
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$117–119
center $118.07 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.01
3.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~65% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.81× · 8.62M vs 10.63M avg
52-week range$92.19 – $119.78
Below high since 2015-49.5% · $204.47 high
Risk / reward1 : 3.0
Plan stop$97.59
Max pain$99.00 options cluster
RSI 1460.9 fires under 35 · fires near $87.76
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$103.18
$87.26 · -15.4%-15.4%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+3.9% · $107.19+3.9%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
60.9
fires under 35 · fires near $87.76
vs 50-day
$98.61
above the line · fires near $99.50
Bollinger
$91.90
no lower pierce · fires near $90.94
VWAP 20
$98.17
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $98.11
Entry level
$102.66
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$98.00
OI strike below · fires near $98.41
MACD
+1.00
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.81×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
1.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.54
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
12 Nov 2026
· in 92 days
Next dividend
1.45% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed