Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) — $122.57 +0.94%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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CSCOpeers & supply-chain relationships

CSCO fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 21.12M · Avg 25.20M
CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.$122.57+0.94%Pre-market$123.31+0.60%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+7net
4 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 9 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.8× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$121.96
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$129–131
center $129.88 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$13.74
11.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.84× · 21.12M vs 25.20M avg
52-week range$65.75 – $130.37
Below high since 2015-6.0% · $130.37 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.9
Plan stop$113.24
Max pain
RSI 1463.0 fires under 35 · fires near $104.26
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$122.57
$103.66 · -15.4%-15.4%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+11.2% · $136.31+11.2%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
63.0
fires under 35 · fires near $104.26
vs 50-day
$117.74
above the line · fires near $118.79
Bollinger
$107.43
no lower pierce · fires near $106.38
VWAP 20
$115.29
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $115.24
Entry level
$121.96
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$126.00
below max put OI strike
MACD
+1.02
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.84×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
1.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.76
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
12 Aug 2026
· in 0 days
Next dividend
1.37% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed