Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) — $357.52 +0.91%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

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GOOGL fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 18.96M · Avg 32.95M
GOOGLAlphabet Inc.$357.52+0.91%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.6× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$355.73
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$405–412
center $408.37 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$13.01
3.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~78% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.58× · 18.96M vs 32.95M avg
52-week range$196.60 – $408.61
Below high since 2015-12.5% · $408.61 high
Risk / reward1 : 2.0
Plan stop$329.29
Max pain$352.50 options cluster
RSI 1452.2 fires under 35 · fires near $307.84
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$357.52
$302.70 · -15.3%-15.3%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+3.6% · $370.53+3.6%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
52.2
fires under 35 · fires near $307.84
vs 50-day
$355.83
at the line
Bollinger
$315.92
no lower pierce · fires near $309.55
VWAP 20
$348.05
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $347.93
Entry level
$355.73
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$365.00
below max put OI strike
MACD
+2.58
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.58×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
1.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$13.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
28 Oct 2026
· in 78 days
Next dividend
USD 0.22
ex-date 2026-09-04
prices 15-min delayed