Deep dive · NasdaqGS: SLDP
Solid Power, Inc. stock analysis
Everything behind the call on Solid Power, Inc. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.
The five reads
Global tapeOverseas lean0.00%
Frankfurt4KD00.00%⏱
Where else this company trades. A closed venue shows its last close, marked ⏱ — not a live price. Overseas lean is the average move across the 1 overseas venue listed above, excluding the home listing — a read on overnight sentiment rather than a signal.
The bottom linestart hereAs of 2026-09-18
Wall Street rating
Hold
Across 8 covering firms
100% buy · 0% hold · 0% sell
Chart pattern
Between the averages
The 50-day sits below the 200-day
50-day $2.33 · +6.2%
200-day $3.35 · -26.4%
200-day $3.35 · -26.4%
Earnings
In 46 days
3 Nov 2026
beat 5–6 of the last 8
cohort P(beat) 64% · n=45,184
cohort P(beat) 64% · n=45,184
Valuation
-6.0× forward
Against consensus earnings
5yr median 4×
FCF yield -11.01%
FCF yield -11.01%
Dividend
0.00%
A rounding error against cash — this is a capital-gains position
Risk flags
1 critical
5 checks run, 2 clear
beta 3.10 · vol 44% ann.
worst drawdown -76%
worst drawdown -76%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
In one paragraphwhat the company actually does158 chars
Solid Power, Inc., a research and development-stage company, develops solid-state battery technologies for the electric vehicles markets in the United States.
NasdaqGS · USDAuto Parts & Equipment
$2.47-0.08 · -2.95%AH · vol 4.89M
52-week range↑ 76% off low · ↓ 72.1% off high
$1.40now $2.47$8.86
Quote Sep 18, 2026 · time not on file
Tape 2026-09-17
Factors 2026-09-18
Tape 2026-09-17
Factors 2026-09-18
01Ratios · Sep 14, 2026SOLVENT · 1 FLAGGED
Survival & solvency
Altman-Z of 8.3 against a 3.0 safe threshold, interest covered -4,033.3×, and 2 of 5 forensic checks clear.
↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman-Z)
8.33SAFE ZONE
Distress<1.8
Grey1.8–3.0
Safe>3.0
Profitability, leverage and liquidity combined into one number. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Balance sheetSep 14, 2026
Distance to default (Merton)COMFORTABLE
4.8σ
How many standard deviations of asset value sit between the company and its debt. Above 4σ is comfortable.
1-year default probabilityEDF-CALIBRATED
0.29%
Calibrated against how often companies at this distance actually defaulted, rather than assuming a normal distribution.
Piotroski F-scoreWATCH
F 4/9
Piotroski F-score 4 of 9. Nine pass/fail tests covering profitability, leverage and operating efficiency; seven or more is strong.
Solvency and liquidity ratios
Current ratioshort-term assets against short-term bills15.92×healthy >2
Debt / equityborrowings against shareholder capital0.02
Interest coverageoperating profit against the interest bill-4,033.3×healthy >5
Leverage · long-term debt / equitythe borrowings that outlive a bad quarter0.00
Net cashcash on hand in excess of every borrowing$13.62M
Your ownership stake
Share-count growth vs peersHIGH DILUTION
76th pctile
Where this name's share-count growth ranks among peers. Lower is less dilutive.
Buyback yieldGROSS
0.60%
Repurchases as a share of market value, before new issuance is netted off.
Stock-based comp / revenueELEVATED
50.2%
Stock comp is the dilution pressure a buyback has to outrun. We read up to 5% of revenue as modest and above 12% as heavy — our own reading band, not a measured peer statistic.
Accounting forensicsSEC filings
Red-flag x-rayGRADE C
60 / 100
1 critical · 2 watch · 2 clear of 5 scored tests
Red-flag x-ray · every check, passes included
CheckStatusValueWhat it looks for
Bankruptcy distressCLEARZ 8.33Altman-Z in the Safe · fundamentals
Earnings manipulationCRITICALM 2.75M-score elevated · fundamentals
LeverageCLEARLTD/E 0.02long-term debt 0.02× equity · fundamentals
Profitability qualityWATCHF 4/9Piotroski F-score 4 of 9 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsWATCH1 flag1 filing red flag on the latest 10-K · forensic
5 checks, 2 clear and 2 watch and 1 critical. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02Refreshed · Sep 18, 2026POOR · 26/100
Business quality
-521% net margin, -22% return on equity, -11% revenue growth, and capital earning -25% against a 15% cost.
↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
Quality score
26 / 100POOR
Profitability, growth and balance strength scored separately, then blended.
ProfitabilityRefreshed · Sep 18, 2026
Net marginOF EVERY SALES DOLLAR
-521.5%
The share of revenue that survives every cost and becomes profit.
Gross marginPRICING POWER
-15.3%
What is left of a sales dollar before overhead — the clearest read on pricing power.
Operating marginAFTER RUNNING COSTS
-562.9%
What survives the cost of running the whole business.
Return on equityPER $1 OF EQUITY
-22.4%
Annual return on each dollar of shareholder equity.
ROIC − WACC spreadDESTROYS VALUE
-40.3pp
Earns -25% on invested capital that costs about 15%. A positive spread means every retained dollar compounds rather than leaks.
Asset growth vs peersIN LINE
43rd pctile
The balance sheet grew +2% on the year. Fast asset growth is usually a ramp; occasionally it is the start of an inventory problem.
Growth & relative strength
Trailing return by period
1 month+9.7%
3 months-11.3%
6 months-19.5%
Year to date-45.3%
1 year-33.7%
Revenue growth (YoY)SHRINKING
-11.1%
Revenue against the same period a year ago.
12-1 momentumEX LAST MONTH
-39.6%
Return over the last year excluding the most recent month — the standard momentum factor, which drops the short-term reversal.
Relative-strength rankBOTTOM 40%
40 / 100
Where this name's 3-month return against the S&P 500 ranks across the market — a quarter's standing, not the year's.
Around earningsAug 4, 2026
P(beat next quarter)COHORT BASE RATE
64%
survivor-tilted universe (currently-listed names; large-cap-skewed coverage)
Beat rate · this nameBEAT 5–6 OF THE LAST 8
6 of 8
Its own record against consensus. 8 prints is a small sample, which is why the cohort rate above carries the probability.
Fell after a beatP(FELL | BEAT)
42%
A beat is not a plan: this share of them still closed lower on the day.
Typical earnings moveMEDIAN ABSOLUTE
±6.2%
Unsigned magnitudes from its own prints. Direction is not part of this read.
Reaction: beat vs missASYMMETRIC
+6.3% / -7.1%
The average day-one move after a beat and after a miss. A miss dropping the stock further than a beat lifts it is the asymmetry worth sizing for.
Sells the newsON THE PRINT
No
No habit of selling off on a good report in the measured window.
Dividends & income
Data unavailableThis company does not pay a dividend. There is no yield, payout ratio or ex-dividend date to show, and the return case rests entirely on capital gains.
Signal
Not an income position.
No dividend is declared, so nothing here contributes to total return except the price. That is a fact about the security, not a criticism of it.
Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geography
Data unavailableRevenue by segment and region is not on file for this name, so product and geographic concentration are not shown.
Pattern reliability · platform-wide cohortSnapshot · Sep 18, 2026
Uptrend · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%-0.1%1,125,547
21d47%-0.2%529,218
63d48%-0.9%169,468
slope +0.17 over 40 bars
Tweezer top · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d46%0.0%322,393
21d47%0.0%151,330
63d50%0.0%48,297
matching highs
Cup and handle · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d46%-0.3%694,881
21d47%-0.5%326,059
63d47%-1.1%104,116
U-base + small handle pullback
Bollinger squeeze
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d43%0.0%757,951
21d45%0.0%355,725
63d47%0.0%112,112
bands at a multi-month tight — breakout pending
Macd bearish cross · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d51%+0.1%154,841
21d51%+0.1%72,734
63d50%+0.2%23,127
MACD crossed below signal
03-6.0× FORWARD
Price & timing
Price $2.47, -6.0× forward earnings, RSI 53.
↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Trend
Mixed2 OF 3 AVERAGES
50-day $2.33 · 200-day $3.35. Price above both is the structural definition of an uptrend.
The setup right now
Price · 504 sessions2024-09-13 → 2026-09-17
price50-day200-day
How to read this
Down 2.95% on the session.
Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.
Momentum (RSI-14)COOL
53
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
Typical day (ATR-14)±4.8%
$0.12
The average true range — how far this stock moves on an ordinary day. It sets the scale a stop has to clear.
MACDABOVE SIGNAL
+0.06
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Bollinger position67% OF RANGE
Mid band
Where price sits inside its own volatility band. The edges are where a move is stretched, not where it reverses.
20-day VWAPPRICE ABOVE
$2.42
The volume-weighted average of the last month. Price above it means recent buyers are, on average, in profit.
Chandelier exitLONG INTACT
$2.30
A volatility-based trailing stop, set a few average ranges below the recent high.
3 Nov 2026 · in 46 daysNext earningsThe next scheduled catalyst. The forward guide usually moves the tape more than the printed number. Date as the vendor last stated it on 7 Aug; companies confirm about three weeks ahead, so it can still move.
2026-09-25 · in 7 daysConsumer SentimentA scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Direction oddsnext 12m
46 / 54cohort n=3,948
A lean, not a forecast. These are the cohort's odds — comparable names over the window — not this stock's own history.
Pullback riskoverstretch read
In line1.07× segment rate · n=11,906
Historically, mid names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 85% of cases (n=11,906).
Overstretchvs the 20-day mean
1.6σ
How many standard deviations price sits from its 20-day mean. Beyond 2σ is genuinely stretched; inside it is ordinary.
Bottom zoneif it breaks down
$2 – $31 support
Where prior demand appeared: S1 at $2.47.
Slide scorefalling-knife check
0 / 100Neutral
A composite of consecutive down days, gap risk and volume expansion. Low means any decline is orderly.
Signal
The odds lean, the stretch qualifies it.
Historically, names tripping 2 validated red flags finished lower 12 months later in 54% of cases (n=3,948) — a survivor-biased floor, not a forecast.
Valuation
Net cash per shareCASH BACKING
$0.07
Cash less every borrowing, per share. It is the part of the price that is not a claim on future profits.
Multiples
Forward P/EAnalysts expect a loss over the next twelve months, so there are no earnings for the price to be a multiple of.Not meaningful5yr median 4×
Price / salesprice against revenue, before any of it becomes profit42.8×5yr median 34.0×
Price / bookprice against the accounting value of the assets1.8×
FCF yieldfree cash flow per dollar of market value-11.01%
2 of the 3 priced multiples above sit in the richer half of its band. 1 is marked not meaningful because the figure it divides into is negative — shown as absent rather than as a low, cheap-looking number. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timingSep 17, 2026
Entryzone of S1
$2.53In zone deep
Where the composer's entry sits, on its own stated basis.
Target52-week high
$8.86$9–$9
A zone, not a price. It is where the composer expects supply, not a forecast.
Stop2× ATR below entry
$2.29risk $0.24/sh
The level that says the setup is wrong, on the basis named beside it.
Risk / rewardtarget vs stop
26.61:1
Reward against risk on the composer's own levels.
Measure from a price$
To the 50-day
-5.8%
short-term trend line · $2.33
To the 200-day
+35.8%
primary trend line · $3.35
To the composer's target
+258.7%
52-week high · set Sep 17, 2026 · $8.86
To the composer's stop
-7.4%
2× ATR below entry · set Sep 17, 2026 · $2.29
To the 52-week high
+258.7%
highest print of the past year · $8.86
To the 52-week low
-43.3%
lowest print of the past year · $1.40
A typical day (ATR)
$2.35 – $2.59
±$0.12 average true range
Type any price to re-measure every distance from it. Each row is a level this page already states somewhere else, so nothing here is a new number — and none of it is a recommendation to trade at that price.
Signal
The levels line up.
Entry $2.53 · stop $2.29 · target $8.86, a 26.61:1 ratio. The composer flagged: elevated distress, far target.
Gamma mapChain · Jun 24, 2026
OTM skewput − call
+3.1%puts bid
Downside puts cost more than equivalent calls, so hedging demand sits on the downside.
Options tapeLast snapshot before the 2026-06-18 expiry · Chain · Jun 24, 2026
Max pain-85.3%
$0.50
The strike where most open options would have expired worthless on the last snapshot. That expiry has passed; the next chain read replaces it.
Put / call ratio (volume)TODAY'S FLOW
1.16
Today's traded flow rather than the standing position. It moves faster and means less.
Largest open interest · front expiry
StrikeTypeOpen interest
Large call interest above the price acts as a magnet and a ceiling; large put interest below is a floor of hedges. The biggest strike is the level the market is most committed to defending into the next expiry.
Open interest by strikeexpires 2026-06-18 (expired)CallsPutsMax pain $0.50
0
$7.50
00
$5.50
00
$5.00
00
$4.50
00
$4.00
00
$3.50
00
$3.00
00
$2.50
00
$2.00
00
$1.50
00
$0.50
0
The shaded row is the strike nearest the price. Heavy call interest above acts as a ceiling; heavy put interest below is a floor of hedges.
↑ 52-week high$8.86+159.8%The highest print of the past year.Old highs draw profit-taking on the first attempt.
◇ Max pain$0.50-85.3%Where most open options expire worthless.Price often drifts toward it into the close of the expiry week.
↓ 50-day average$2.33-31.8%The line the short-term trend is measured against.A close beneath it is the first structural warning.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL +3
Ownership & flow
Institutions hold 43%, short interest is 14.42% of float.
↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
+3LEANING · 30d
1 bull / 0 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Earnings4 QUARTERS · TIMING
+3
latest EPS beat by 8%
Signal
1 bull / 0 bear factors
Independent factors scored and netted to +3 over 30d, a leaning reading. 1 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.
Cross-category read
Data unavailableFewer independent evidence families are ready than the engine's minimum, so there is nothing to check for agreement. A cross-category read over two categories is not a read.
Wall Street8 covering firms
Consensus rating8 ANALYSTS
Hold
100% buy · 0% hold · 0% sell, as a share of the 8 covering firms.
Forward EPS estimateCONSENSUS
$-0.45
What the panel expects the company to earn per share.
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipRETAIL-HEAVY
42.8%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
9.9%
The share held by the people running the company.
Short interest (float)CROWDED
14.42%
The share of the tradable float sold short.
Free float86% OF SHARES
193.03M
Shares actually available to trade, excluding insider and restricted holdings.
Dollar volume (ADV)68th PCTILE
$15.71M/day
Average dollars traded per day, and where that ranks cross-sectionally. Thin liquidity is a cost you pay on the way out, not just on the way in.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved todayPEER COMOVE
-2.95%
SLDP fell −2.95% in after-hours trading alongside 3 of 3 peers (median 2.58%) — a sector/market move, not company-specific.
Congress
Data unavailableNo congressional trades in this name have been disclosed under the STOCK Act. Lawmakers' disclosed trades cluster heavily in large caps, so an empty list is the usual state.
0510 graded callsHIGH VOLATILITY
Risk & track record
Beta 3.10, 44% annual volatility, a -76% worst drawdown, and 3 of 8 risk surfaces clear.
↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
A very bad day (EVT)
−8.6%1-IN-200 DAY
Fitted to the tail of the return distribution rather than assuming a bell curve. Size the position so a day like this is survivable.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
Beyond the tail (ES)1-IN-1,000 DAY
−15.6%
The average loss on a 1-in-1,000 day or worse — deeper in the tail than the 1-in-200 figure above and further than the measured history reaches, so it reads as the scale of a crash, not a forecast of one.
Tail understatementNEAR-NORMAL
1.0×
The tail runs close to what a normal curve would predict, so volatility is a reasonable proxy for risk here — which is not true of every name.
Max drawdownIT CAN HALVE
-76.5%
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
Beta (vs the market)AMPLIFIES
3.10
Moves about 3.1× the market over the past year.
Annualized volatilityELEVATED
44%
How far it swings over a year, from its own realized returns.
Tactical phaseNIGHTLY READ
Neutral
Selling pressure0
Buying pressure55
Overheat11
State: neutral — No dominant short-horizon pressure in the tape.
What votes against
Data unavailableNo factor in the model currently votes against this name. That is a statement about the model's inputs today, not a claim that nothing could go wrong.
Failure modes · by company type
Data unavailableFailure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far. This name routes as unknown, so there is no cohort-specific checklist to run. A generic list would read as analysis without being any.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Suggested position capmax defensible size
2.2%tail cap binds
max defensible size 2.2% - tail binds
Avoid score6-month distress
39.3%2.7× its cohort · $1–$5 names
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this $1–$5 names segment: 14.8%. This name reads 2.7× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
MedPosition size, not conviction, is the binding constrainthalf-Kelly 27.2% · tail cap 2.2% · category cap 54.6%. The tail cap binds, so 2.2% is the number (n=92,785). We show which one binds rather than the friendliest.Sizing
LowLottery-ticket behaviourIts best 21-day return sits at 6.5% against a 10.8% cohort 90th-percentile threshold — below the line where forward returns have historically turned negative.Behaviour
HighCash runwayAbout 1.7 quarters of cash at current burn ($32M cash against $76M a year of burn) - names in this bucket: 28.6% catastrophe rate within a year.Solvency
LowPost-earnings driftDrift odds at full strength (+2.24% / 63-day spread reference from measured post-earnings drift).Timing
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowRestatement historyFiling history is not deep enough to check for restatements.Not scored
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
3 of 8 surfaces clear.
8 surfaces checked, 3 clear. The binding constraint is position size — the tail cap is the one that binds. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.
Who should skip it
Skip it if any of these is you
You can't sit through -76%
That is this name's deepest measured fall, on 44% annualized volatility. A drawdown of that size is normal here, not exceptional.
You want income
A 0.00% yield is a rounding error against cash. This is a capital-gains position.
You're already heavy in this market
A 3.10 beta means you would be stacking the same bet rather than spreading it.
You'd size it like a core holding
The binding cap is 2.2% of a portfolio. Above that the tail stops being survivable.
Our track record10 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
23 logged
23 calls logged on this name, 10 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
Calls on SLDPTHIS NAME
23
This name's own call count. Too few have resolved to publish a rate over them, so none is shown rather than a rate over 10.
0610-K disclosed linksAUTO PARTS & EQUIPMENT
The wider context
5 mapped peers, 4 connections.
↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
+64.5% per +1ppSECTOR
This is the SECTOR prior, not a measurement of this name — the regression did not clear its own bar. The verdict beside it (headwind) comes from the prior too, so the two agree by construction rather than by evidence.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
ORLYPeer$84.71-0.21%
AZOPeer$2,855.31+0.39%
MGAPeer$63.15-2.58%
GPCPeer$128.08-2.14%
AURPeer$6.31-2.77%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
Time machineHistory from 2023-06-01
Signal
1 of 4 backward windows are positive.
Look-back returns describe what happened, not what is likely. They are here to set the scale a future move would be measured on.
Macro driversRolling window
Next macro catalystIN 7 DAYS
Consumer Sentiment
2026-09-25. A scheduled release that moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Events · what moves this stockSep 14, 2026
Retail salesUsually helps when shoppers spend more than expected
This report is the sector's own sales figure, printed monthly.
Typical for the Consumer Cyclical sector
On the day -0.5% · A week later -0.1% · Two weeks later -0.8% · Rose on 14 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Retail sales reports since Jun 15, 2023, SLDP moved -0.5% on average on the day and was 0.8% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
Initial jobless claimsUsually hurts when more people file for benefits than expected
Fewer paychecks means less spending at stores, restaurants and dealers.
Typical for the Consumer Cyclical sector
On the day 0.0% · A week later +1.0% · Two weeks later +1.6% · Rose on 79 of 169 report days
Across the last 169 Initial jobless claims reports since Jun 8, 2023, SLDP moved 0.0% on average on the day and was 1.6% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Housing startsUsually helps when more homes are started than expected
Homebuilders and home-improvement chains sit in this sector.
Typical for the Consumer Cyclical sector
On the day -0.6% · A week later +2.2% · Two weeks later 0.0% · Rose on 16 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Housing starts reports since Jun 20, 2023, SLDP moved -0.6% on average on the day and was 0.0% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Industrial productionUsually helps when factory output comes in stronger than expected
A stronger economy means more consumer spending.
Typical for the Consumer Cyclical sector
On the day -0.5% · A week later -0.1% · Two weeks later -0.8% · Rose on 14 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Industrial production reports since Jun 15, 2023, SLDP moved -0.5% on average on the day and was 0.8% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
Producer prices (PPI)Usually hurts when producer prices run hotter than expected
Higher prices squeeze household budgets and higher rates make borrowing dearer; both are bad for stores, restaurants and carmakers.
Typical for the Consumer Cyclical sector
On the day +0.4% · A week later +0.2% · Two weeks later +4.8% · Rose on 18 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Producer prices (PPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, SLDP moved +0.4% on average on the day and was 4.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Consumer sentiment (UMich) is due in 7 days.
Consumer sentiment (UMich)Usually helps when consumers feel better than expectedPeople spend more when they feel confident.
Typical for the Consumer Cyclical sector
On the day +1.4% · A week later +1.3% · Two weeks later +1.4% · Rose on 17 of 38 report days
Across the last 38 Consumer sentiment (UMich) reports since Jun 26, 2023, SLDP moved +1.4% on average on the day and was 1.4% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) is due in 12 days.
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expectedHigher prices squeeze household budgets and higher rates make borrowing dearer; both are bad for stores, restaurants and carmakers.
Typical for the Consumer Cyclical sector
On the day -0.7% · A week later -0.7% · Two weeks later +0.6% · Rose on 15 of 38 report days
Across the last 38 Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) reports since Jun 28, 2023, SLDP moved -0.7% on average on the day and was 0.6% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Core inflation (core CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Higher prices squeeze household budgets and higher rates make borrowing dearer; both are bad for stores, restaurants and carmakers.
Typical for the Consumer Cyclical sector
On the day +0.6% · A week later +0.8% · Two weeks later +5.7% · Rose on 18 of 38 report days
Across the last 38 Core inflation (core CPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, SLDP moved +0.6% on average on the day and was 5.7% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Customer momentum
Data unavailableCustomer momentum needs listed customers that disclose a revenue dependence on this company, and none is on file. The connections below are a different map: competitors and partners, most of them curated rather than filed.
Connections4 links · none confirmed
Direct connections · 4 edges
CompanyRelationSessionProvenance
BMW.DE · Partnerpartner-4.46%Rumored · manual
FDX · Suppliersupplier-0.73%Rumored · manual
AMZN · Customercustomer+1.00%Rumored · manual
TGT · Competitorcompetitor-1.03%Rumored · manual
0 of 4 edges are named in a filing; the rest come from reporting we have not matched to one yet, and are labelled as such.
Glossary · every term on this page
Survival
Altman Z
Bankruptcy-risk score. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Piotroski F
Nine pass/fail health tests; 7 or more is strong.
Beneish M
Accrual and growth pattern screen. Clear below −2.22, watch to −1.78, elevated above; a year of very fast revenue growth lifts it by construction.
Merton DTD
Standard deviations of asset value between the company and its debt.
EDF
Default frequency calibrated on what actually happened to similar names.
Price & tape
RSI-14
Momentum gauge 0–100. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold.
ATR
Average true range — the size of a typical day.
VWAP
20-day volume-weighted average price — the average paid over the last month; the page shows no intraday VWAP.
Supertrend
A trend-following stop line. A close through it flips the read.
Chandelier
A trailing stop set a few average ranges below the recent high.
Options & flow
Gamma / GEX
Dealer hedging pressure. Negative gamma amplifies moves both ways.
Call / put wall
The strikes with the heaviest open interest; they act as ceiling and floor.
Max pain
The strike where most options expire worthless.
13F · Form 4
Institutional filings, 45 days after quarter end. Insider trades, within two days.
Scoring
Composite signal
Independent factors scored and netted into one number.
Hit-rate
Share of past calls that resolved in the direction stated.
Brier score
Calibration measure. Lower means stated probabilities track reality.
HHI
Concentration 0–10,000. Above 2,500 means one segment carries the company.
EVT
Fits the tail rather than assuming a bell curve, so bad days are not understated.