AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) — $3,084.32 +0.53%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

AZOpeers & supply-chain relationships

AZO fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 7.6K · Avg 360.3K
AZOAutoZone, Inc.$3,084.32+0.53%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

2 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.1× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$3,052.65
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$4,367–4,409
center $4,388.11 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$167.79
5.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~65% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.02× · 7.6K vs 360.3K avg
52-week range$2,902.20 – $4,388.11
Below high since 2015-30.1% · $4,388.11 high
Risk / reward1 : 7.9
Plan stop$2,882.85
Max pain
RSI 1450.6 fires under 35 · fires near $2,798.24
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$3,084.32
$2,781.19 · -9.8%-9.8%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+5.4% · $3,252.11+5.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
50.6
fires under 35 · fires near $2,798.24
vs 50-day
$3,061.31
at the line
Bollinger
$2,920.31
no lower pierce · fires near $2,898.65
VWAP 20
$3,036.14
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $3,035.06
Entry level
$3,052.65
level below · fires near $3,082.43
Put wall
$3,110.00
below max put OI strike
MACD
+7.46
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.02×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
3.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$84.90
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
22 Sep 2026
· in 41 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed