AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) — Auto Parts & Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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AZOpeers & supply-chain relationships

AZO fair-value estimate

AZO earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 434.9K · 3-mo avg 297.4K

AutoZone, Inc. (AZO)

AZOAutoZone, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionPCE inflation days · ~12% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 5/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$2,857.80
basis · low 52w + s1 + put wall · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$2,947–2,990
center $2,968.44 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$154.23
5.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.10×
52-week range$2,796.85 – $4,332.68
Below high since 2015-34.5% · $4,388.11 high
Risk / reward0.53 : 1
Plan stop$2,689.14
Max pain$2,900.00 options cluster
RSI 1445.2 fires under 35 · fires near $2,728.33
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple17.0× fwd · 20.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past96th pctile · 19.7× median
Free cash flow yield3.8% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
45.2
fires under 35 · fires near $2,728.33
vs 50-day
✓
$2,978.04
below the line
Bollinger
●
$2,793.27
no lower pierce · fires near $2,775.25
VWAP 20
✓
$2,903.97
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$2,857.80
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$2,880.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context✓
+0.19
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.10×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$84.33
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-08
in 52 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file