O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) — Auto Parts & Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:45 PM ETVol 1.89M · 3-mo avg 5.63M

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY)

ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 7 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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$89.34
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$102–103
near the 52-week high · midpoint $102.46 · Nov 9
±$0.03
±0.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
68% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume14% below normal0.86× its 20-day average
Past year's range$82.59 – $102.46lowest to highest price
From its peak17.4% belowpeak $108.72, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.12 to 1$2.12 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$84.38the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$45.00far from the price, likely stale options data
Momentum (RSI)52.5fires under 35 · fires near $82.65
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit24.6× next year27.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 65%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 26.5×
Cash it generates2.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 47% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
52.5
fires under 35 · fires near $82.65
vs 50-day
●
$87.36
above the line · fires near $88.17
Bollinger
●
$86.49
no lower pierce · fires near $85.86
VWAP 20
●
$89.93
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $89.92
Entry level
✓
$89.34
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$105.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.12
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.86×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.48
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-10
in 62 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file