O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) — $92.23 −1.39%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

ORLYpeers & supply-chain relationships

ORLY fair-value estimate

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.97M · Avg 7.95M
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.$92.23-1.39%Pre-market$91.84-0.43%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
0net
3 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.4× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$91.77
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$108–109
center $108.72 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.45
4.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~78% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.50× · 3.97M vs 7.95M avg
52-week range$82.59 – $108.72
Below high since 2015-15.2% · $108.72 high
Risk / reward1 : 3.2
Plan stop$86.40
Max pain$110.00 options cluster
RSI 1457.1 fires under 35 · fires near $79.61
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$92.23
$79.21 · -14.1%-14.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.8% · $96.68+4.8%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
57.1
fires under 35 · fires near $79.61
vs 50-day
$88.52
above the line · fires near $89.30
Bollinger
$82.59
no lower pierce · fires near $81.49
VWAP 20
$88.47
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $88.40
Entry level
$91.77
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$85.00
OI strike below · fires near $85.39
MACD
+0.60
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.50×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.57
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
28 Oct 2026
· in 77 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed