O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) — Auto Parts & Equipment. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 4.10M · 3-mo avg 7.17M

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY)

ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~58% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 6/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$85.69
basis · pivot low + s1 + put wall · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$88–89
center $88.31 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.49
4.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.64×
52-week range$82.59 – $108.72
Below high since 2015-20.8% · $108.72 high
Risk / reward0.53 : 1
Plan stop$81.94
Max pain$85.00 options cluster
RSI 1447.5 fires under 35 · fires near $81.21
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple23.8× fwd · 27.5× trailing
P/E vs its own past51st pctile · 26.3× median
Free cash flow yield2.2% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 53% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
47.5
fires under 35 · fires near $81.21
vs 50-day
✓
$88.45
below the line
Bollinger
●
$83.19
no lower pierce · fires near $82.63
VWAP 20
●
$85.93
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $85.91
Entry level
✓
$85.69
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$85.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context✓
+0.03
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.64×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.88
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file