Target Corporation (TGT) — Discount Stores. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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TGT fair-value estimate

TGT earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 1:28 PM ETVol 1.53M · 3-mo avg 4.21M

Target Corporation (TGT)

TGTTarget Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~13% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$159.03
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 0.9% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$169–171
center $170.29 · basis · bb upper + high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.46
4.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.02×
52-week range$83.44 – $170.75
Below high since 2015-40.7% · $269.45 high
Risk / reward1.50 : 1
Plan stop$151.53
Max pain$150.00 options cluster
RSI 1454.6 fires under 35 · fires near $140.91
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple16.5× fwd · 16.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past56th pctile · 16.0× median
Free cash flow yield4.0% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
54.6
fires under 35 · fires near $140.91
vs 50-day
$150.68
above the line · fires near $151.94
Bollinger
$153.02
no lower pierce · fires near $151.94
VWAP 20
$161.77
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$159.03
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$140.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-1.29
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.02×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
3.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.75
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-18
in 43 sessions
Next dividend
2.95% yld
no ex-date on file