FedEx Corporation (FDX) — $325.34 +0.90%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

FDXpeers & supply-chain relationships

FDX fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 11, 2026 · 11:45 AM ETVol 546.7K · Avg 1.93M
FDXFedEx Corporation$325.34+0.90%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

0 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
0 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.9× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$320.82
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-12
Target exit zone
$333–337
center $335.00 · basis · call wall · as of 2026-08-12
Implied move · 1 wk
±$16.01
4.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~64% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.28× · 546.7K vs 1.93M avg
52-week range$177.28 – $345.37
Below high since 2015-6.6% · $345.37 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.7
Plan stop$301.07
Max pain$317.50 options cluster
RSI 1457.2 fires under 35 · fires near $296.44
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$325.34
$288.35 · -11.4%-11.4%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.9% · $341.35+4.9%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
57.2
fires under 35 · fires near $296.44
vs 50-day
$319.21
above the line · fires near $322.33
Bollinger
$304.04
no lower pierce · fires near $303.15
VWAP 20
$314.20
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $314.01
Entry level
$320.82
level below · fires near $323.95
Put wall
$295.00
OI strike below · fires near $296.44
MACD
+1.63
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.28×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$6.65
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
12 Oct 2026 · after the bell
amc · in 60 days
Next dividend
1.50% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed