FedEx Corporation (FDX) — Integrated Freight & Logistics. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

FDXpeers & supply-chain relationships

FDX fair-value estimate

FDX earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM ETVol 363.4K · 3-mo avg 1.53M

FedEx Corporation (FDX)

FDXFedEx Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+6net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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$317.25
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9
$328–332
near a heavy call-option level and the options pressure point · midpoint $330.00 · Nov 9
±$17.35
±5.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
68% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume55% below normal0.45× its 20-day average
Past year's range$204.67 – $345.37lowest to highest price
From its peak7.7% belowpeak $345.37, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.63 to 1$0.63 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$298.11the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$260.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)59.2fires under 35 · fires near $276.63
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit15.2× next year17.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 82%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 15.4×
Cash it generates6.8%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 39% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
59.2
fires under 35 · fires near $276.63
vs 50-day
●
$302.44
above the line · fires near $305.09
Bollinger
●
$284.16
no lower pierce · fires near $280.39
VWAP 20
●
$308.44
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $308.31
Entry level
✓
$317.25
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+1.32
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.45×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$9.41
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
—
not on file
Next dividend
1.54% yld
no ex-date on file