Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) — Mortgage REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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ORCpeers & supply-chain relationships

ORC fair-value estimate

ORC earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.69M · 3-mo avg 4.83M

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC)

ORCOrchid Island Capital, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 100/100 · was 98 on Sep 22 · as of 2026-09-250/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$5.68
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$6.39
center $6.39 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.77
13.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
0.97× the norm · 77% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.13×
52-week range$5.67 – $8.40
Below high since 2015-92.2% · $73.32 high
Risk / reward2.26 : 1
Plan stop$5.41
Max pain$7.50 options cluster
RSI 1420.3 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple5.5× fwd · 3.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past9th pctile · 11.7× median
Price / book0.82×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 78% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
20.3
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$6.39
below the line
Bollinger
●
$5.71
no lower pierce · fires near $5.70
VWAP 20
✓
$6.25
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$5.68
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$5.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.06
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.13×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
8.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.14
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-22
in 19 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.30
ex-date 2026-09-30
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) Stock Price & Signals · QTick