NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NXPI fair-value estimate

NXPI earnings history

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 17, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 5.05M · 3-mo avg 3.94M

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI)

NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$226.79
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$240–244
center $241.93 · basis · round + sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 82% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.63×
52-week range$183.00 – $339.95
Below high since 2015-32.9% · $339.95 high
Risk / reward0.84 : 1
Plan stop$211.30
Max pain
RSI 1448.8 fires under 35 · fires near $207.88
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple12.3× fwd · 19.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past76th pctile · 21.7× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 4.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 53% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
48.8
fires under 35 · fires near $207.88
vs 50-day
$240.86
below the line
Bollinger
$217.60
no lower pierce · fires near $215.93
VWAP 20
$224.23
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $224.12
Entry level
$226.79
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
+1.46
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.63×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.60
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-26
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
1.78% yld
no ex-date on file