Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) — Mortgage REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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IVRpeers & supply-chain relationships

IVR fair-value estimate

IVR earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.90M · 3-mo avg 2.76M

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR)

IVRInvesco Mortgage Capital Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-2net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 1 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 68/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$6.38
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$7.15
center $7.15 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.54
8.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.91×
52-week range$6.35 – $9.50
Below high since 2015-96.7% · $191.98 high
Risk / reward2.14 : 1
Plan stop$6.06
Max pain$8.00 options cluster
RSI 1429.2 oversold
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple3.7× fwd · 4.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past25th pctile · 15.2× median
Price / book0.75×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 78% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
29.2
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$7.16
below the line
Bollinger
●
$6.14
no lower pierce · fires near $6.06
VWAP 20
✓
$6.81
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$6.38
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$8.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.03
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.91×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
11.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.16
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.36
ex-date 2026-09-28
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