Deep dive · NYSE: HEI
HEICO Corporation stock analysis
Everything behind the call on HEICO Corporation. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.
The five reads
Why the reads disagreeread this before the sections
Event and Trend are pulling against each other and the split is genuine rather than a formality. The net lands at +2 over 30d, a balanced reading on a dispersion of 0.39, which makes this a question of size rather than of direction.
Leans up · and why
earnings vote up. 1 of 4 independent evidence families agree.
Leans down · and why
risk flags vote down. 3 of 4 families lean the other way. The conflict that matters is Event against Trend.
What it changes
Size, not direction. separately, the tail model puts a very bad day at −6.1%; and the binding position cap is 4.5% — the tail cap is the one that binds.
Global tapeOverseas lean-0.14%
FrankfurtHC1+0.25%⏱London0J46-1.12%⏱MéxicoHEICO*+0.30%⏱ZurichHC10.00%⏱
Where else this company trades. A closed venue shows its last close, marked ⏱ — not a live price. Overseas lean is the average move across the 4 overseas venues listed above, excluding the home listing — a read on overnight sentiment rather than a signal.
The bottom linestart hereAs of 2026-09-18
Chart pattern
Below both averages
The 50-day sits above the 200-day
50-day $344.30 · -13.4%
200-day $322.44 · -7.5%
200-day $322.44 · -7.5%
Earnings
In 90 days
17 Dec 2026
beat 7–8 of the last 8
cohort P(beat) 80% · n=35,425
cohort P(beat) 80% · n=35,425
Valuation
41.2× forward
47th of its own five-year range
5yr median 64×
Dividend
0.08%
A rounding error against cash — this is a capital-gains position
Risk flags
2 on watch
5 checks run, 1 clear
beta 1.19 · vol 23% ann.
worst drawdown -27%
worst drawdown -27%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
In one paragraphwhat the company actually does133 chars
HEICO Corporation provides aerospace, defense, and electronic related products and services in the United States and internationally.
NYSE · USDAerospace & Defense
$298.22+1.74 · +0.59%AH · vol 735.4K
52-week range↑ 16% off low · ↓ 20.9% off high
$256.11now $298.22$376.86
Quote Sep 18, 2026 · 11:29 AM ET
Tape 2026-09-17
Factors 2026-09-18
Tape 2026-09-17
Factors 2026-09-18
01Ratios · Jul 7, 2026
Survival & solvency
and 1 of 5 forensic checks clear.
↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Piotroski F-score
F 5/7WATCH
Piotroski F-score 5 of 7. Nine pass/fail tests covering profitability, leverage and operating efficiency; seven or more is strong.
Balance sheetJul 7, 2026
Your ownership stake
Buyback yieldGROSS
0.00%
Repurchases as a share of market value, before new issuance is netted off.
Diluted vs basic share gapTHIN OVERHANG
1.24%
Options and awards already granted, expressed as the gap between the diluted and basic counts.
Accounting forensicsSEC filings
Red-flag x-rayGRADE C
67 / 100
0 critical · 2 watch · 1 clear of 3 scored tests
Red-flag x-ray · every check, passes included
CheckStatusValueWhat it looks for
Bankruptcy distressCLEARZ 9.73Altman-Z in the Safe · fundamentals
Earnings manipulationNAn/aBeneish-M not available · fundamentals
LeverageNAn/aLong-term debt / equity not available · fundamentals
Profitability qualityWATCHF 5/7Piotroski F-score 5 of 7 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsWATCH1 flag1 filing red flag on the latest 10-K · forensic
5 checks, 1 clear and 2 watch. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02
Business quality
The quality blocks below render whatever the filings support; anything absent says so in place.
↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
12-1 momentum
+14.1%EX LAST MONTH
Return over the last year excluding the most recent month — the standard momentum factor, which drops the short-term reversal.
Profitability
Data unavailableNo parsed income statement is on file, so margins, returns on capital and cash generation cannot be computed for this name.
Growth & relative strength
Trailing return by period
1 month-18.4%
3 months-12.0%
6 months+7.0%
Year to date-10.0%
1 year-6.5%
Relative-strength rankBOTTOM 30%
30 / 100
Where this name's 3-month return against the S&P 500 ranks across the market — a quarter's standing, not the year's.
Around earningsAug 25, 2026
P(beat next quarter)COHORT BASE RATE
80%
survivor-tilted universe (currently-listed names; large-cap-skewed coverage)
Beat rate · this nameBEAT 7–8 OF THE LAST 8
8 of 8
Its own record against consensus. 8 prints is a small sample, which is why the cohort rate above carries the probability.
Fell after a beatP(FELL | BEAT)
45%
A beat is not a plan: this share of them still closed lower on the day.
Typical earnings moveMEDIAN ABSOLUTE
±2.6%
Unsigned magnitudes from its own prints. Direction is not part of this read.
Reaction: beat vs missASYMMETRIC
+0.9% / -3.6%
The average day-one move after a beat and after a miss. A miss dropping the stock further than a beat lifts it is the asymmetry worth sizing for.
Sells the newsON THE PRINT
No
No habit of selling off on a good report in the measured window.
Dividends & income
Dividend yieldforward annual
0.08%
The cash return the payment alone provides at today's price.
Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geography
Data unavailableRevenue by segment and region is not on file for this name, so product and geographic concentration are not shown.
Pattern reliability · platform-wide cohortSnapshot · Sep 18, 2026
Downtrend · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%0.0%1,260,321
21d48%0.0%593,656
63d47%-0.5%186,156
slope -0.17 over 40 bars
Bullish harami · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d49%0.0%129,954
21d48%-0.2%61,286
63d49%-0.2%19,561
small body inside prior bearish
Tweezer bottom · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d45%0.0%343,068
21d46%0.0%161,560
63d47%0.0%50,875
matching lows
Triple top · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d50%0.0%971,828
21d52%+0.2%456,413
63d54%+0.5%144,062
three peaks ≈ equal
Double bottom · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d49%0.0%1,242,409
21d50%0.0%584,002
63d51%+0.2%184,289
two troughs ≈ equal — reversal if neckline breaks
Ascending triangle · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d50%0.0%643,427
21d51%+0.2%302,356
63d53%+0.5%95,587
flat resistance, rising support
Rsi oversold · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d46%0.0%224,994
21d48%0.0%106,081
63d50%0.0%33,395
RSI 25 ≤ 30
0347TH OF ITS 5-YEAR RANGE
Price & timing
Price $298.22, 41.2× forward earnings, RSI 23.
↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Trend
Below every average0 OF 3 AVERAGES
50-day $344.30 · 200-day $322.44. Price above both is the structural definition of an uptrend.
The setup right now
Price · 504 sessions2024-09-13 → 2026-09-17
price50-day200-day
How to read this
Up 0.59% on the session.
Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.
Momentum (RSI-14)OVERSOLD
23
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
Typical day (ATR-14)±2.7%
$8.01
The average true range — how far this stock moves on an ordinary day. It sets the scale a stop has to clear.
MACDBELOW SIGNAL
-2.61
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Bollinger position13% OF RANGE
Lower band
Where price sits inside its own volatility band. The edges are where a move is stretched, not where it reverses.
20-day VWAPPRICE BELOW
$330.16
The volume-weighted average of the last month. Price above it means recent buyers are, on average, in profit.
Chandelier exitBROKEN
$346.23
A volatility-based trailing stop, set a few average ranges below the recent high.
17 Dec 2026 · in 90 daysNext earningsThe next scheduled catalyst. The forward guide usually moves the tape more than the printed number. Date as the vendor last stated it on 4 Sept; companies confirm about three weeks ahead, so it can still move.
2026-09-25 · in 7 daysConsumer SentimentA scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Direction oddsnext 12m
50 / 50cohort n=13,084
Effectively a coin flip. A split this close is not an edge you can size on, whichever side is nominally ahead. These are the cohort's odds — comparable names over the window — not this stock's own history.
Pullback riskoverstretch read
In line1.04× segment rate · n=6,164
Historically, large names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 69% of cases (n=6,164).
Overstretchvs the 20-day mean
-1.6σ
How many standard deviations price sits from its 20-day mean. Beyond 2σ is genuinely stretched; inside it is ordinary.
Bottom zoneif it breaks down
$279 – $2952 supports
Where prior demand appeared: S1 at $292.82, Pivot low at $283.09.
Slide scorefalling-knife check
37 / 100Neutral
A composite of consecutive down days, gap risk and volume expansion. Low means any decline is orderly.
Signal
The odds are a coin flip.
Historically, names tripping 1 validated red flag finished lower 12 months later in 50% of cases (n=13,084) — a survivor-biased floor, not a forecast.
Valuation
Earnings yield vs cashBELOW CASH
-3.03pp
Cash pays more than the earnings yield today, so what you are buying is future growth rather than a current return.
Multiples
Forward P/Eearnings expected over the next 12 months41.2×5yr median 64×
Trailing P/Eearnings already reported49.4×47th of its 5yr range
PEG ratioP/E divided by growth; near 1 reads fair for the growth1.60
3 of the 3 priced multiples above sit in the richer half of its band. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timingSep 17, 2026
Entryzone of pivot low + S1
$295.00Approach
Where the composer's entry sits, on its own stated basis.
TargetRound + sma 200
$322.44$320–$324
A zone, not a price. It is where the composer expects supply, not a forecast.
StopTucked under the entry zone
$277.08risk $17.92/sh
The level that says the setup is wrong, on the basis named beside it.
Risk / rewardtarget vs stop
1.53:1
Reward against risk on the composer's own levels.
Measure from a price$
To the 50-day
+15.5%
short-term trend line · $344.30
To the 200-day
+8.1%
primary trend line · $322.44
To the composer's target
+8.1%
Round + sma 200 · set Sep 17, 2026 · $322.44
To the composer's stop
-7.1%
Tucked under the entry zone · set Sep 17, 2026 · $277.08
To the 52-week high
+26.4%
highest print of the past year · $376.86
To the 52-week low
-14.1%
lowest print of the past year · $256.11
A typical day (ATR)
$290.21 – $306.23
±$8.01 average true range
Type any price to re-measure every distance from it. Each row is a level this page already states somewhere else, so nothing here is a new number — and none of it is a recommendation to trade at that price.
Signal
The levels line up.
Entry $295.00 · stop $277.08 · target $322.44, a 1.53:1 ratio. The composer flagged: fair-value reference.
Gamma map
Data unavailableThis name has no listed options chain, so there is no dealer gamma to map. Regime, flip level, walls and the implied move all need a chain to exist.
Options tape
Data unavailableNo options chain is connected for this ticker. Max pain, the put/call ratio, the implied move and the open-interest ladder all need the chain feed.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL +2
Ownership & flow
Institutions hold 81%, short interest is 0.57% of float.
↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
+2BALANCED · 30d
1 bull / 1 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Earnings4 QUARTERS · TIMING
+3
latest EPS beat by 11%
Risk flagsDAILY · CONTEXT
-1
expensive valuation (bottom-quintile earnings yield)
Signal
1 bull / 1 bear factors
Independent factors scored and netted to +2 over 30d, a balanced reading. 2 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.
Cross-category readSep 18, 2026
Signal
3 of 4 families lean down.
Descriptive only — a decorrelated read of where the evidence agrees and conflicts, not a forecast and not advice. Patterns are condition lists, not outcome predictions, and are not yet validated to the proof bar. Dispersion of 0.39 means the disagreement is a genuine split.
Wall Street
Data unavailableNo sell-side firm publishes research on this name. There is no consensus rating, no price target and no estimate revisions to weigh — for a company this size that is the norm rather than a gap in our data.
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipINSTITUTIONALLY HELD
81.3%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
22.8%
The share held by the people running the company.
Short interest (float)LIGHT
0.57%
Rising — shares short changed +1.1% over 30 days. There is no short base to squeeze here.
Dollar volume (ADV)89th PCTILE
$138.08M/day
Average dollars traded per day, and where that ranks cross-sectionally. Thin liquidity is a cost you pay on the way out, not just on the way in.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved todayNONE
+0.59%
HEI rose +0.59% in after-hours trading — no identified catalyst in our coverage.
CongressSTOCK Act · 30–45d lag
Signal
Net selling.
1 of 5 disclosures are buys and 4 are sales. Lawmakers disclose on a 30–45 day legal lag, so this describes what was done weeks ago, not what is being done now.
0510 graded callsORDINARY VOLATILITY
Risk & track record
Beta 1.19, 23% annual volatility, a -27% worst drawdown, and 3 of 8 risk surfaces clear.
↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
A very bad day (EVT)
−6.1%1-IN-200 DAY
Fitted to the tail of the return distribution rather than assuming a bell curve. Size the position so a day like this is survivable.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
Beyond the tail (ES)1-IN-1,000 DAY
−14.3%
The average loss on a 1-in-1,000 day or worse — deeper in the tail than the 1-in-200 figure above and further than the measured history reaches, so it reads as the scale of a crash, not a forecast of one.
Tail understatementHEAVY TAIL
1.4×
A normal-curve estimate understates this name's worst days by about 1.4×, so volatility alone is the wrong risk measure for it.
Max drawdownWORST FALL
-27.1%
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
Beta (vs the market)IN LINE
1.19
Moves about 1.2× the market over the past year.
Annualized volatilityORDINARY
23%
How far it swings over a year, from its own realized returns.
Tactical phaseNIGHTLY READ
Neutral
Selling pressure68
Buying pressure0
Overheat0
State: neutral — No dominant short-horizon pressure in the tape.
What votes againstNightly
LowRisk flagsexpensive valuation (bottom-quintile earnings yield)Daily · -1
Signal
1 of 9 factors vote against.
Ranked by the size of each factor's own point contribution to the net signal — these are the model's stated reasons, not a written bear case. Each one is scored from the source named beside it.
Failure modes · by company type
Data unavailableFailure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far. This name routes as growth, so there is no cohort-specific checklist to run. A generic list would read as analysis without being any.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Suggested position capmax defensible size
4.5%tail cap binds
max defensible size 4.5% - tail binds
Avoid score6-month distress
3.3%0.4× its cohort · most-traded mega-caps
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this most-traded mega-caps segment: 9.3%. This name reads 0.4× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
MedPosition size, not conviction, is the binding constrainthalf-Kelly 105.5% · tail cap 4.5% · category cap 90.1%. The tail cap binds, so 4.5% is the number (n=10,596). We show which one binds rather than the friendliest.Sizing
LowLottery-ticket behaviourIts best 21-day return sits at 1.3% against a 8.7% cohort 90th-percentile threshold — below the line where forward returns have historically turned negative.Behaviour
LowCash runwayNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowPost-earnings driftDrift odds at full strength (+3.21% / 63-day spread reference from measured post-earnings drift).Timing
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
LowRestatement historyFiling history is not deep enough to check for restatements.Not scored
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
3 of 8 surfaces clear.
8 surfaces checked, 3 clear. The binding constraint is position size — the tail cap is the one that binds. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.
Who should skip it
Skip it if any of these is you
You want income
A 0.08% yield is a rounding error against cash. This is a capital-gains position.
Our track record10 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
33 logged
33 calls logged on this name, 10 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
Calls on HEITHIS NAME
33
This name's own call count. Too few have resolved to publish a rate over them, so none is shown rather than a rate over 10.
0610-K disclosed linksAEROSPACE & DEFENSE
The wider context
5 mapped peers, 8 connections.
↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
-4.5% per +1ppSECTOR
This is the SECTOR prior, not a measurement of this name — the regression did not clear its own bar. The verdict beside it (tailwind) comes from the prior too, so the two agree by construction rather than by evidence.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
GEPeer$314.27+0.26%
RTXPeer$194.00+0.24%
BASupplier$198.20+0.61%
LMTPeer$533.38-0.88%
HWMPeer$229.67+1.73%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
Time machineHistory from 2023-06-01
Signal
2 of 4 backward windows are positive.
Look-back returns describe what happened, not what is likely. They are here to set the scale a future move would be measured on.
Macro driversRolling window
Inflation (CPI) reactionn=39
0.98×
On these days it moves about 1.0× the market, regardless of company news.
Jobs report reactionn=40
0.96×
On these days it moves about 1.0× the market, regardless of company news.
Fed decision (FOMC) reactionn=39
1.02×
On these days it moves about 1.0× the market, regardless of company news.
Inflation (PCE) reactionn=39
0.97×
On these days it moves about 1.0× the market, regardless of company news.
Next macro catalystIN 7 DAYS
Consumer Sentiment
2026-09-25. A scheduled release that moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Events · what moves this stockSep 18, 2026
Industrial productionUsually helps when factory output comes in stronger than expected
Industrial companies sell into exactly this activity.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day +0.2% · A week later +0.5% · Two weeks later +1.1% · Rose on 23 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Industrial production reports since Jun 15, 2023, HEI moved +0.2% on average on the day and was 1.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
GDP (advance estimate)Usually helps when the economy grows faster than expected
Industrial companies sell into exactly this activity.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day 0.0% · A week later +2.1% · Two weeks later +2.1% · Rose on 7 of 13 report days
Across the last 13 GDP (advance estimate) reports since Jul 28, 2023, HEI moved 0.0% on average on the day and was 2.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Initial jobless claimsUsually hurts when more people file for benefits than expected
Rising layoffs signal factories and builders are slowing.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day +0.2% · A week later +0.7% · Two weeks later +1.2% · Rose on 87 of 168 report days
Across the last 168 Initial jobless claims reports since Jun 8, 2023, HEI moved +0.2% on average on the day and was 1.2% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Housing startsUsually helps when more homes are started than expected
Building products and equipment makers.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day +0.2% · A week later +1.2% · Two weeks later +1.5% · Rose on 25 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Housing starts reports since Jun 20, 2023, HEI moved +0.2% on average on the day and was 1.5% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Producer prices (PPI)Usually hurts when producer prices run hotter than expected
Factories pay more for materials before they can raise their own prices, and higher rates slow orders.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day +0.3% · A week later +0.6% · Two weeks later +1.8% · Rose on 24 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Producer prices (PPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, HEI moved +0.3% on average on the day and was 1.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Retail salesUsually helps when shoppers spend more than expected
Goods have to be made and shipped before they are sold.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day +0.2% · A week later +0.5% · Two weeks later +1.1% · Rose on 23 of 39 report days
Across the last 39 Retail sales reports since Jun 15, 2023, HEI moved +0.2% on average on the day and was 1.1% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) is due in 12 days.
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expectedFactories pay more for materials before they can raise their own prices, and higher rates slow orders.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day +0.2% · A week later +0.3% · Two weeks later +0.7% · Rose on 23 of 38 report days
Across the last 38 Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) reports since Jun 28, 2023, HEI moved +0.2% on average on the day and was 0.7% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.2% on those days.
Core inflation (core CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Factories pay more for materials before they can raise their own prices, and higher rates slow orders.
Typical for the Industrials sector
On the day +0.3% · A week later +0.8% · Two weeks later +1.9% · Rose on 24 of 38 report days
Across the last 38 Core inflation (core CPI) reports since Jun 12, 2023, HEI moved +0.3% on average on the day and was 1.9% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.3% on those days.
Customer momentum
Data unavailableCustomer momentum needs listed customers that disclose a revenue dependence on this company, and none is on file. The connections below are a different map: competitors and partners, most of them curated rather than filed.
Connections8 links · none confirmed
Direct connections · 8 edges
CompanyRelationSessionProvenance
ATRO · Competitorcompetitor+1.19%Rumored · manual
AAL · Suppliersupplier+0.15%Rumored · manual
LUV · Suppliersupplier+1.59%Rumored · manual
SPR · Suppliersuppliernot pricedRumored · manual
BA · Suppliersupplier+0.61%Rumored · manual
DAL · Suppliersupplier+0.24%Rumored · manual
UAL · Suppliersupplier+0.99%Rumored · manual
BA · Suppliersupplier+0.61%Rumored · 10K
0 of 8 edges are named in a filing; the rest come from reporting we have not matched to one yet, and are labelled as such.
Glossary · every term on this page
Survival
Altman Z
Bankruptcy-risk score. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Piotroski F
Nine pass/fail health tests; 7 or more is strong.
Beneish M
Accrual and growth pattern screen. Clear below −2.22, watch to −1.78, elevated above; a year of very fast revenue growth lifts it by construction.
Merton DTD
Standard deviations of asset value between the company and its debt.
EDF
Default frequency calibrated on what actually happened to similar names.
Price & tape
RSI-14
Momentum gauge 0–100. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold.
ATR
Average true range — the size of a typical day.
VWAP
20-day volume-weighted average price — the average paid over the last month; the page shows no intraday VWAP.
Supertrend
A trend-following stop line. A close through it flips the read.
Chandelier
A trailing stop set a few average ranges below the recent high.
Options & flow
Gamma / GEX
Dealer hedging pressure. Negative gamma amplifies moves both ways.
Call / put wall
The strikes with the heaviest open interest; they act as ceiling and floor.
Max pain
The strike where most options expire worthless.
13F · Form 4
Institutional filings, 45 days after quarter end. Insider trades, within two days.
Scoring
Composite signal
Independent factors scored and netted into one number.
Hit-rate
Share of past calls that resolved in the direction stated.
Brier score
Calibration measure. Lower means stated probabilities track reality.
HHI
Concentration 0–10,000. Above 2,500 means one segment carries the company.
EVT
Fits the tail rather than assuming a bell curve, so bad days are not understated.