Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) — Aerospace & Defense. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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HWMpeers & supply-chain relationships

HWM fair-value estimate

HWM earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 2.19M · 3-mo avg 3.09M

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM)

HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 23/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$231.32
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$245–249
center $247.46 · basis · round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 12% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 12% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.54×
52-week range$183.83 – $310.00
Below high since 2015-25.0% · $310.00 high
Risk / reward0.82 : 1
Plan stop$214.30
Max pain—
RSI 1440.0 fires under 35 · fires near $227.00
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple35.1× fwd · 48.9× trailing
P/E vs its own past94th pctile · 43.5× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
40.0
fires under 35 · fires near $227.00
vs 50-day
✓
$263.07
below the line
Bollinger
●
$210.27
no lower pierce · fires near $205.66
VWAP 20
✓
$237.42
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$231.32
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.49
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.54×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.01
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 30 sessions
Next dividend
0.24% yld
no ex-date on file