Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) — $594.92 +0.48%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

METApeers & supply-chain relationships

META fair-value estimate

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 14.95M · Avg 18.15M
METAMeta Platforms, Inc.$594.92+0.48%

SELL.

We're bearish on this stock — not a name to own here.

The net signal reads -5 — more evidence points down than up — and the 50-day average sits below the 200-day, 1 accounting red flag is raised in the filings. Buying a dip into that is catching a falling stock, not finding value; the read stands until the signal or the company's condition improves.

QTick signal
-5net
0 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
Bearish tape — sell
We're bearish on this stock — the tape and the structure both say so.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.9× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$591.95
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$624–635
center $629.76 · basis · round + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$28.68
4.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~78% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.82× · 14.95M vs 18.15M avg
52-week range$520.26 – $796.25
Below high since 2015-25.3% · $796.25 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.8
Plan stop$546.86
Max pain$550.00 options cluster
RSI 1448.6 fires under 35 · fires near $532.91
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$594.92
$514.25 · -13.6%-13.6%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.8% · $623.60+4.8%
Entry strategy · 10 triggersBearish tape — sell
RSI 14
48.6
fires under 35 · fires near $532.91
vs 50-day
$598.83
at the line
Bollinger
$536.80
no lower pierce · fires near $524.34
VWAP 20
$601.27
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$591.95
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$590.00
OI strike below · fires near $592.90
MACD
-1.35
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.82×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
1.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$22.54
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
28 Oct 2026
· in 78 days
Next dividend
0.35% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed