Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) — $184.11 −2.05%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

NBISpeers & supply-chain relationships

NBIS fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 14.68M · Avg 20.00M
NBISNebius Group N.V.$184.11-2.05%

STRIKE.

The entry triggers have lined up — the pullback you set the alert for. This is your entry.

3 of 5 entry triggers are firing at once, clearing the 3-of-5 screen rule.

QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
3 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
Entry conditions met — this is the setup.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.5× · n=23OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$183.19
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$218–225
center $221.21 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 17% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 17% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs 20-day avg0.73× · 14.68M vs 20.00M avg
52-week range$62.01 – $299.86
Below high since 2015-38.6% · $299.86 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.9
Plan stop$139.00
Max pain
RSI 1444.9 fires under 35 · fires near $129.95
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$184.11
$129.26 · -29.8%-29.8%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+26.9% · $233.60+26.9%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
44.9
fires under 35 · fires near $129.95
vs 50-day
$222.69
below the line
Bollinger
$154.46
no lower pierce · fires near $147.77
VWAP 20
$191.82
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$183.19
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+1.08
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.73×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
28.0%
28.0% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$24.75
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
12 Aug 2026 · before the bell
bmo · in 1 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed