Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 3:24 PM ETVol 5.49M · 3-mo avg 6.60M

Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS)

CBRSCerebras Systems Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionPCE inflation days · ~13% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$205.72
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$384–389
center $386.34 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
—
not on file
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
—
not on file
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.97×
52-week range$160.81 – $386.34
Below high sincenot on file
Risk / reward7.85 : 1
Plan stop$183.88
Max pain—
RSI 1453.6 fires under 35 · fires near $153.55
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple508.3× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-0.8% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 31% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
53.6
fires under 35 · fires near $153.55
vs 50-day
●
$202.71
above the line · fires near $204.39
Bollinger
●
$172.17
no lower pierce · fires near $168.03
VWAP 20
●
$195.37
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $195.30
Entry level
✓
$205.72
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+2.80
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.97×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
147.6%
147.6% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$10.92
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-10
in 32 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file