Block, Inc. (XYZ) — Cloud & Infrastructure Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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XYZ fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.33M · 3-mo avg 4.61M

Block, Inc. (XYZ)

XYZBlock, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+6net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyOKPCE inflation days · ~15% smaller swingsRiskFalling knife · 64/100 · was 15 on Sep 21 · as of 2026-09-251/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$76.04
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$80–81
center $80.21 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.24
5.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.00× the norm · 83% saw a ≥20% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.84×
52-week range$48.21 – $86.92
Below high since 2015-74.1% · $294.55 high
Risk / reward0.80 : 1
Plan stop$71.66
Max pain$77.00 options cluster
RSI 1443.0 fires under 35 · fires near $72.31
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple136.5× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past75th pctile · 51.0× median
Free cash flow yield5.3% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 72% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
43.0
fires under 35 · fires near $72.31
vs 50-day
✓
$80.15
below the line
Bollinger
●
$73.88
no lower pierce · fires near $73.23
VWAP 20
✓
$78.99
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$76.04
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$74.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-0.34
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.19
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-09
in 31 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file