CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) — $225.16 +5.01%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

CRWDpeers & supply-chain relationships

CRWD fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 8.05M · Avg 11.70M
CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.$225.16+5.01%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

0 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
0 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.9× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$222.06
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit
at new highs
Implied move · 1 wk
±$19.12
8.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure · stretched above 50-day · mean-reversion risk
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure · stretched above 50-day · mean-reversion risk
Volume vs 20-day avg0.69× · 8.05M vs 11.70M avg
52-week range$85.68 – $226.90
Below high since 2019-60.3% · $566.90 high
Risk / reward
Plan stop$199.58
Max pain$187.50 options cluster
RSI 1471.3 overbought
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$225.16
$169.01 · -24.9%-24.9%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+8.5% · $244.28+8.5%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
71.3
overbought
vs 50-day
$187.06
above the line · fires near $187.96
Bollinger
$171.62
no lower pierce · fires near $169.71
VWAP 20
$198.10
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $197.78
Entry level
$222.06
level below · fires near $224.11
Put wall
$195.00
OI strike below · fires near $195.68
MACD
+2.76
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.69×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$9.11
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
26 Aug 2026
· in 15 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed