Oracle Corporation (ORCL) — Cloud & Infrastructure Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:04 PM ETVol 23.55M · 3-mo avg 33.08M

Oracle Corporation (ORCL)

ORCLOracle Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 19/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$136.41
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$139–143
center $141.10 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$10.23
7.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.71×
52-week range$114.50 – $322.54
Below high since 2015-60.3% · $345.72 high
Risk / reward0.25 : 1
Plan stop$121.01
Max pain$148.00 options cluster
RSI 1440.6 fires under 35 · fires near $128.41
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple12.5× fwd · 21.5× trailing
P/E vs its own past7th pctile · 31.6× median
Free cash flow yield-6.0% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
40.6
fires under 35 · fires near $128.41
vs 50-day
✓
$142.25
below the line
Bollinger
●
$134.97
no lower pierce · fires near $134.29
VWAP 20
✓
$149.45
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$136.41
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$140.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-1.56
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.71×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.70
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-10
in 53 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
USD 0.50
ex-date 2026-10-09