Oracle Corporation (ORCL) — $151.05 +2.74%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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ORCLpeers & supply-chain relationships

ORCL fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:04 PM ETVol 24.19M · Avg 31.45M
ORCLOracle Corporation$151.05+2.74%Pre-market$152.01+0.64%

WAIT.

Not worth owning here — the balance sheet is under real strain and the filings carry red flags.

The balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band and 1 accounting red flag is raised — the quality screen fails at any price. 2 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
2 of 6 aligned — not yet
Quality fails the screen — a distress-zone balance sheet with forensic flags.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.1× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$150.29
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$153–157
center $154.81 · basis · daily pivot + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$13.69
9.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~78% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.77× · 24.19M vs 31.45M avg
52-week range$114.50 – $345.72
Below high since 2015-56.3% · $345.72 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.2
Plan stop$130.66
Max pain$133.00 options cluster
RSI 1459.5 fires under 35 · fires near $111.34
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$151.05
$110.84 · -26.6%-26.6%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+9.1% · $164.74+9.1%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
59.5
fires under 35 · fires near $111.34
vs 50-day
$158.88
below the line
Bollinger
$108.78
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
$129.43
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $129.19
Entry level
$150.29
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$140.00
OI strike below · fires near $140.50
MACD
+4.93
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.77×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.11
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
9 Sep 2026
· in 29 days
Next dividend
1.32% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed