Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) — $385.04 +5.82%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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PANWpeers & supply-chain relationships

PANW fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.48M · Avg 7.95M
PANWPalo Alto Networks, Inc.$385.04+5.82%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

0 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
0 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.0× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$377.73
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit
at new highs
Implied move · 1 wk
±$36.00
9.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure · stretched above 50-day · mean-reversion risk
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure · stretched above 50-day · mean-reversion risk
Volume vs 20-day avg0.69× · 5.48M vs 7.95M avg
52-week range$139.57 – $385.17
Below high since 20150.0% · $385.17 high
Risk / reward
Plan stop$340.61
Max pain$267.50 options cluster
RSI 1470.3 overbought
Forensic flags4 review
What-if price
$385.04
$301.22 · -21.8%-21.8%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+9.3% · $421.04+9.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
70.3
overbought
vs 50-day
$318.50
above the line · fires near $320.08
Bollinger
$306.36
no lower pierce · fires near $302.80
VWAP 20
$343.76
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $343.66
Entry level
$377.73
level below · fires near $381.37
Put wall
$345.00
OI strike below · fires near $346.28
MACD
+3.05
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.69×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
2.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$14.85
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
18 Aug 2026
· in 7 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed