Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) — Cloud & Infrastructure Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 2:15 PM ETVol 15.22M · 3-mo avg 23.16M

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)

MSFTMicrosoft Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+8net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 9 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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$542.45
near a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 1.6% below it
$555–563
near the 52-week high · midpoint $559.15 · Nov 9
±$24.28
±4.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume14% below normal0.86× its 20-day average
Past year's range$349.20 – $559.15lowest to highest price
From its peak2.5% belowpeak $559.15, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.50 to 1$0.50 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$509.37the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)57.5fires under 35 · fires near $450.54
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit22.1× next year27.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 29%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 33.1×
Cash it generates1.7%of its market value, per year

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 2.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
57.5
fires under 35 · fires near $450.54
vs 50-day
●
$517.28
above the line · fires near $521.99
Bollinger
●
$511.72
no lower pierce · fires near $507.60
VWAP 20
●
$533.01
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $532.66
Entry level
✓
$542.45
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.03
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.86×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$16.54
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-27
in 52 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.91
ex-date 2026-11-19