USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) — Industrial Metals & Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

USARpeers & supply-chain relationships

USAR earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 12:16 PM ETVol 12.18M · 3-mo avg 13.24M

USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR)

USARUSA Rare Earth, Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
-5net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 85/100 · was 100 on Nov 5 · Nov 91/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$8.66
near a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 11.0% below it
$12.98
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $12.98 · Nov 9
±$1.44
±18.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume37% above normal1.37× its 20-day average
Past year's range$7.71 – $32.80lowest to highest price
From its peak80.1% belowpeak $43.98, highest since 2023
Gain vs. risk3.08 to 1$3.08 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$7.26the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$9.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)37.1fires under 35 · fires near $7.13
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit257.0× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastusual P/E 34.1×median of the last 5 years
Cash it generates-2.4%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 62% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
37.1
fires under 35 · fires near $7.13
vs 50-day
✓
$13.04
below the line
Bollinger
●
$7.60
no lower pierce · fires near $7.56
VWAP 20
✓
$9.58
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$8.66
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.14
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.37×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
26.9%
26.9% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$0.85
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-09
reported last session · reaction session open
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file