Rio Tinto Group (RIO) — Industrial Metals & Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

RIOpeers & supply-chain relationships

RIO fair-value estimate

RIO earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:15 PM ETVol 1.14M · 3-mo avg 2.39M

Rio Tinto Group (RIO)

RIORio Tinto Grouploading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileFlatInflation-report days · swings like the S&P 500OKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 54/100 · Nov 10
$85.96
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 1.9% below it
$90–91
near a round-number price and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $90.43 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
68% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume38% below normal0.62× its 20-day average
Past year's range$68.70 – $112.58lowest to highest price
From its peak23.3% belowpeak $112.58, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.96 to 1$0.96 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$81.31the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)46.7fires under 35 · fires near $78.21
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit9.9× next year11.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 87%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 9.0×
Cash it generates3.3%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 2.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 69% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
46.7
fires under 35 · fires near $78.21
vs 50-day
✓
$92.83
below the line
Bollinger
●
$79.40
no lower pierce · fires near $78.34
VWAP 20
✓
$85.45
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$85.96
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.46
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.62×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
0.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.32
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-18
in 67 sessions
Next dividend
5.52% yld
no ex-date on file