Rio Tinto Group (RIO) — $101.91 +0.80%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

RIOpeers & supply-chain relationships

RIO fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:01 PM ETVol 1.67M · Avg 2.72M
RIORio Tinto Group$101.91+0.80%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
1 of 5 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.9× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$101.40
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$112–113
center $112.58 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~65% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.61× · 1.67M vs 2.72M avg
52-week range$60.22 – $112.58
Below high since 2015-9.5% · $112.58 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.8
Plan stop$95.35
Max pain
RSI 1464.4 fires under 35 · fires near $84.52
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$101.91
$84.30 · -17.3%-17.3%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.4% · $106.35+4.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
64.4
fires under 35 · fires near $84.52
vs 50-day
$97.14
above the line · fires near $97.95
Bollinger
$86.52
no lower pierce · fires near $85.40
VWAP 20
$94.16
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $94.09
Entry level
$101.40
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
+1.29
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.61×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
0.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
18 Feb 2027 · after the bell
amc · in 190 days
Next dividend
4.56% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed