Rio Tinto Group (RTNTF) — Industrial Metals & Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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RTNTF fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 24, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 0 · 3-mo avg 151

Rio Tinto Group (RTNTF)

RTNTFRio Tinto Grouploading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionPCE inflation days · ~45% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 36/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$116.56
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$123–124
center $123.81 · basis · daily pivot + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 5% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.23× the norm · 81% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 5% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average4.71×
52-week range$75.60 – $133.85
Below high since 2023-9.5% · $133.85 high
Risk / reward1.76 : 1
Plan stop$112.43
Max pain—
RSI 1451.3 fires under 35 · fires near $96.70
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple17.2× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield2.2% · of market value

Last session traded heavier than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 74% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
51.3
fires under 35 · fires near $96.70
vs 50-day
✓
$120.43
below the line
Bollinger
●
$109.11
no lower pierce · fires near $107.71
VWAP 20
✓
$121.16
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$116.56
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-1.97
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
4.71×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$1.74
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-18
in 101 sessions
Next dividend
4.14% yld
no ex-date on file