Rio Tinto Group (RTNTF) — $126.90 −0.81%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

RTNTFpeers & supply-chain relationships

RTNTF fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 3.2K · Avg 320
RTNTFRio Tinto Group$126.90-0.81%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

0 of 5 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 3. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
0 of 5 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on fileCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.5× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$123.13
basis · pivot low · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$133–134
center $133.85 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
High
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg10.00× · 3.2K vs 320 avg
52-week range$63.55 – $133.85
Below high since 2023-4.4% · $133.85 high
Risk / reward1 : 3.6
Plan stop$120.16
Max pain
RSI 1477.9 overbought
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$126.90
$97.62 · -23.1%-23.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+2.3% · $129.88+2.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers0 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
77.9
overbought
vs 50-day
$120.03
above the line · fires near $121.04
Bollinger
$99.44
no lower pierce · fires near $98.17
VWAP 20
$117.98
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $117.93
Entry level
$123.13
level below · fires near $124.34
Put wall
not on file
MACD
-0.06
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
10.00×
elevated versus recent average
Short int.Static
not on file
ATRStatic
$1.49
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
18 Feb 2027 · after the bell
amc · in 190 days
Next dividend
3.23% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed