BHP Group Limited (BHPLF) — Industrial Metals & Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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BHPLF fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 24, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 710.4K · 3-mo avg 98.1K

BHP Group Limited (BHPLF)

BHPLFBHP Group Limitedloading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionPCE inflation days · ~41% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 5/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$43.37
basis · pivot low · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$47–48
center $47.70 · basis · high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.00×
52-week range$24.62 – $48.26
Below high since 2023-9.7% · $48.26 high
Risk / reward2.14 : 1
Plan stop$41.67
Max pain—
RSI 1449.0 fires under 35 · fires near $39.47
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple22.6× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield4.2% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 65% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
49.0
fires under 35 · fires near $39.47
vs 50-day
✓
$43.29
at the line
Bollinger
●
$40.70
no lower pierce · fires near $40.10
VWAP 20
✓
$43.87
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$43.37
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.40
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.00×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.85
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2027-02-15
in 98 sessions
Next dividend
3.95% yld
no ex-date on file
BHP Group Limited (BHPLF) Stock Price & Signals · QTick