Rio Tinto Group (RTPPF) — Industrial Metals & Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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RTPPF fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 30.0K · 3-mo avg 483

Rio Tinto Group (RTPPF)

RTPPFRio Tinto Grouploading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKPCE inflation days · ~18% smaller swingsCautionHeavy selling · 32/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$93.10
basis · pivot low + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$109–110
center $109.68 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.06× the norm · 70% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: hot selling
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average16.57×
52-week range$64.06 – $112.00
Below high since 2023-16.2% · $112.00 high
Risk / reward3.98 : 1
Plan stop$89.94
Max pain—
RSI 1438.7 fires under 35 · fires near $91.69
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple12.7× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield2.9% · of market value

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price down 2.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 86% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
38.7
fires under 35 · fires near $91.69
vs 50-day
✓
$95.95
below the line
Bollinger
●
$92.87
no lower pierce · fires near $92.52
VWAP 20
✓
$94.93
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$93.10
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.80
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
16.57×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$1.58
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-18
in 99 sessions
Next dividend
5.03% yld
no ex-date on file