BHP Group Limited (BHP) — Industrial Metals & Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.96M · 3-mo avg 2.52M

BHP Group Limited (BHP)

BHPBHP Group Limitedloading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileFlatPCE inflation days · swings like the S&P 500OKNeutral tape · 52/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$84.55
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$87–88
center $87.18 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.24×
52-week range$52.18 – $98.71
Below high since 2015-13.9% · $98.71 high
Risk / reward0.42 : 1
Plan stop$79.72
Max pain—
RSI 1442.0 fires under 35 · fires near $81.28
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple18.1× fwd · 22.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past97th pctile · 12.0× median
Free cash flow yield2.2% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
42.0
fires under 35 · fires near $81.28
vs 50-day
✓
$87.12
below the line
Bollinger
●
$82.11
no lower pierce · fires near $81.41
VWAP 20
✓
$87.96
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$84.55
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.49
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.24×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.41
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-15
in 97 sessions
Next dividend
4.66% yld
no ex-date on file