BHP Group Limited (BHP) — Industrial Metals & Mining. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:15 PM ETVol 1.36M · 3-mo avg 2.87M

BHP Group Limited (BHP)

BHPBHP Group Limitedloading…
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QTick signal
-2net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileOKInflation-report days · ~7% smaller swingsOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 47/100 · Nov 10
$82.45
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9 · price is already 2.0% below it
$84–85
near a resistance level, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $84.38 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
68% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume30% below normal0.70× its 20-day average
Past year's range$52.18 – $98.71lowest to highest price
From its peak16.1% belowpeak $98.71, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.39 to 1$0.39 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$77.45the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)52.4fires under 35 · fires near $71.42
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit16.9× next year20.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 97%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 11.9×
Cash it generates2.3%of its market value, per year

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 2.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 62% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
52.4
fires under 35 · fires near $71.42
vs 50-day
✓
$84.64
below the line
Bollinger
●
$76.80
no lower pierce · fires near $76.00
VWAP 20
●
$80.72
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $80.71
Entry level
✓
$82.45
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.30
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.70×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.50
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-15
in 65 sessions
Next dividend
4.90% yld
no ex-date on file