Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) — $280.44 −1.97%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

TXNpeers & supply-chain relationships

TXN fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.21M · Avg 8.70M
TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated$280.44-1.97%Pre-market$283.69+1.16%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

3 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+8net
5 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 10 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.3× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$279.04
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$290–296
center $293.22 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$18.96
6.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~78% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.48× · 4.21M vs 8.70M avg
52-week range$152.73 – $334.03
Below high since 2015-16.0% · $334.03 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.6
Plan stop$256.43
Max pain$310.00 options cluster
RSI 1447.3 fires under 35 · fires near $248.08
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$280.44
$246.60 · -12.1%-12.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+6.8% · $299.40+6.8%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
47.3
fires under 35 · fires near $248.08
vs 50-day
$292.94
below the line
Bollinger
$265.29
no lower pierce · fires near $262.04
VWAP 20
$282.55
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$279.04
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$270.00
OI strike below · fires near $271.35
MACD
+0.70
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.48×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
1.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$11.30
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
27 Oct 2026
· in 76 days
Next dividend
2.03% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed