Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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TXN fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 10.28M · 3-mo avg 6.64M

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN)

TXNTexas Instruments Incorporatedloading…
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QTick signal
+7net
4 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 9 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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$291.44
near a recent low, a support level and a heavy put-option level · Nov 9
$297–304
near a heavy call-option level, a resistance level and a round-number price · midpoint $300.47 · Nov 9
±$25.14
±8.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume9% above normal1.09× its 20-day average
Past year's range$152.73 – $334.03lowest to highest price
From its peak11.5% belowpeak $334.03, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.14 to 1$0.14 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$260.83the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$292.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)53.2fires under 35 · fires near $257.47
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit25.6× next year36.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 77%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 28.9×
Cash it generates1.0%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 6.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 52% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
53.2
fires under 35 · fires near $257.47
vs 50-day
●
$278.64
above the line · fires near $280.95
Bollinger
●
$263.13
no lower pierce · fires near $257.47
VWAP 20
●
$290.61
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $290.51
Entry level
●
$291.44
level below · fires near $294.28
Put wall
●
$292.50
2026-11-13 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context●
-1.59
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.09×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$13.77
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-26
in 52 sessions
Next dividend
2.06% yld
no ex-date on file