Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.96M · 3-mo avg 6.98M

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN)

TXNTexas Instruments Incorporatedloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
4 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionPCE inflation days · ~27% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$276.68
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$330–334
center $332.33 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$18.52
6.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.65×
52-week range$152.73 – $334.03
Below high since 2015-16.8% · $334.03 high
Risk / reward2.27 : 1
Plan stop$254.18
Max pain$265.00 options cluster
RSI 1460.2 fires under 35 · fires near $244.50
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple26.1× fwd · 42.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past91st pctile · 26.8× median
Free cash flow yield1.0% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 2.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 36% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
60.2
fires under 35 · fires near $244.50
vs 50-day
●
$270.72
above the line · fires near $273.27
Bollinger
●
$249.70
no lower pierce · fires near $248.61
VWAP 20
●
$263.11
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $263.00
Entry level
✓
$276.68
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$250.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context✓
+2.44
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.65×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$8.17
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-27
in 22 sessions
Next dividend
USD 1.52
ex-date 2026-10-30