Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWT) — Mortgage REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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RWTpeers & supply-chain relationships

RWT fair-value estimate

RWT earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.60M · 3-mo avg 4.58M

Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWT)

RWTRedwood Trust, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 39/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$3.70
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$3.82
center $3.82 · basis · daily pivot + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.20× the norm · 95% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.57×
52-week range$3.22 – $6.97
Below high since 2015-82.3% · $21.05 high
Risk / reward0.22 : 1
Plan stop$3.26
Max pain—
RSI 1438.1 fires under 35 · fires near $3.62
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple3.4× fwd · trailing not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 1.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
38.1
fires under 35 · fires near $3.62
vs 50-day
✓
$4.31
below the line
Bollinger
●
$3.31
no lower pierce · fires near $3.20
VWAP 20
●
$3.63
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $3.63
Entry level
✓
$3.70
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.01
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.57×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.22
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 23 sessions
Next dividend
19.35% yld
no ex-date on file
Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWT) Stock Price & Signals · QTick