NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF) — Mortgage REITs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NREFpeers & supply-chain relationships

NREF fair-value estimate

NREF earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 1:33 PM ETVol 31.1K · 3-mo avg 56.8K

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF)

NREFNexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 92/100 · was 57 on Nov 4 · Nov 90/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$13.33
near a support level · Nov 6
$14.73
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $14.73 · Nov 6
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 14% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Elevated
93% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 14% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume4% below normal0.96× its 20-day average
Past year's range$12.36 – $18.43lowest to highest price
From its peak51.0% belowpeak $27.35, highest since 2020
Gain vs. risk0.85 to 1$0.85 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$12.05the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)26.2oversold
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit7.8× next year5.9× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 47%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 6.9×

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 0.7%. Over the last 20 sessions, 68% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
26.2
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$15.75
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$13.86
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$14.98
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$13.33
level below · fires near $13.46
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.07
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.96×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.64
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-25
in 73 sessions
Next dividend
14.81% yld
no ex-date on file