MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) — Semiconductors. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 3.60M · 3-mo avg 1.52M

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI)

MTSIMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 8 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 74/100 · was 100 on Nov 5 · Nov 91/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$228.85
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$262–271
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $266.75 · Nov 9
±$29.21
±12.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume68% above normal1.68× its 20-day average
Past year's range$150.80 – $418.90lowest to highest price
From its peak45.1% belowpeak $418.90, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.97 to 1$0.97 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$192.05the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$230.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)43.9fires under 35 · fires near $195.21
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit19.8× next year53.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 43%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 74.9×
Cash it generates0.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 9.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 56% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
43.9
fires under 35 · fires near $195.21
vs 50-day
✓
$270.22
below the line
Bollinger
●
$194.74
no lower pierce · fires near $186.30
VWAP 20
✓
$240.93
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$228.85
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$210.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context●
-5.17
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.68×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$21.77
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-04
in 59 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file