Matador Resources Company (MTDR) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.41M · 3-mo avg 1.75M

Matador Resources Company (MTDR)

MTDRMatador Resources Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+7net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 9 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 35/100 · Nov 6
$50.16
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$54–55
near a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $54.24 · Nov 6
±$3.79
±7.5% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 10% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 10% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume45% above normal1.45× its 20-day average
Past year's range$38.80 – $66.84lowest to highest price
From its peak33.3% belowpeak $75.54, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.66 to 1$0.66 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$44.64the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$50.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)35.1fires under 35 · fires near $50.36
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit5.0× next year8.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 67%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 7.7×
Cash it generates3.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
35.1
fires under 35 · fires near $50.36
vs 50-day
✓
$56.19
below the line
Bollinger
●
$49.84
no lower pierce · fires near $49.62
VWAP 20
✓
$55.97
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$50.16
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$45.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context●
-1.05
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.45×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
12.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.52
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-23
in 72 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.38
ex-date 2026-11-10