ConocoPhillips (COP) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.08M · 3-mo avg 6.73M

ConocoPhillips (COP)

COPConocoPhillipsloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeOKPCE inflation days · ~6% smaller swingsOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$126.66
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$140–142
center $141.28 · basis · bb upper + high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.70
5.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 67% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.74×
52-week range$85.57 – $141.62
Below high since 2015-10.1% · $141.62 high
Risk / reward1.74 : 1
Plan stop$119.25
Max pain$120.00 options cluster
RSI 1444.5 fires under 35 · fires near $119.08
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple13.2× fwd · 16.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past79th pctile · 12.3× median
Free cash flow yield4.7% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 47% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
44.5
fires under 35 · fires near $119.08
vs 50-day
✓
$126.80
at the line
Bollinger
●
$125.05
no lower pierce · fires near $124.39
VWAP 20
✓
$133.18
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$126.66
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$128.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-1.53
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.74×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
1.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.70
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
2.64% yld
no ex-date on file