Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) — $58.65 +4.90%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

OXYpeers & supply-chain relationships

OXY fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 9.41M · Avg 9.92M
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation$58.65+4.90%

WAIT.

Not worth owning here — the balance sheet is under real strain and the filings carry red flags.

The balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band and 1 accounting red flag is raised — the quality screen fails at any price. 1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+9net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 11 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Quality fails the screen — a distress-zone balance sheet with forensic flags.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.7× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$58.21
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$67–68
center $67.14 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.10
5.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.95× · 9.41M vs 9.92M avg
52-week range$38.80 – $67.45
Below high since 2015-33.6% · $88.37 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.8
Plan stop$53.26
Max pain$54.00 options cluster
RSI 1461.6 fires under 35 · fires near $48.82
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$58.65
$48.09 · -18.0%-18.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+5.3% · $61.75+5.3%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
61.6
fires under 35 · fires near $48.82
vs 50-day
$54.46
above the line · fires near $54.89
Bollinger
$52.90
no lower pierce · fires near $52.64
VWAP 20
$55.69
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $55.68
Entry level
$58.21
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$50.00
OI strike below · fires near $50.20
MACD
+0.14
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.95×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.91
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
9 Nov 2026
· in 89 days
Next dividend
USD 0.26
ex-date 2026-09-10
prices 15-min delayed